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Peterborough United v Cardiff City
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Peterborough United (Хозяева)
Прогноз 19.95%5.01справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.232%
Преимущество -0.046%
Kelly -0.058%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.74%19.99%19.87%21.21%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.644.705.0023.81%21.56%21.28%20.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Cardiff City (Гости)
Прогноз 59.26%1.69справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.41%
Преимущество -2.09%
Kelly -5.42%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.63
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.23%59.20%59.40%60.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.521.581.571.6365.79%63.47%63.69%61.35%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 20.79%4.81справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.04%
Преимущество -0.219%
Kelly -0.277%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.76
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.38%20.81%20.73%23.90%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.384.404.7627.78%22.82%22.73%21.01%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Peterborough United (Хозяева): 19.95%; Cardiff City (Гости): 59.26%; Ничья: 20.79%. Для исхода «Peterborough United (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.01. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 5.00, математическое ожидание — -0.232%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -0.232%E -0.046%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -2.23%E -0.455%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -9.93%E -6.53%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.22%E -0.880%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -2.29%E -0.487%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -4.22%E -0.880%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -4.22%E -0.880%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.22%E -0.880%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.98%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.07%EV -4.82%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.82%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.11%EV -1.04%E -0.219%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.66%EV -6.37%E -4.03%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.14%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -11.64%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.79%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -11.64%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.13%EV -6.37%E -4.03%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -7.49%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.13%EV -6.37%E -4.03%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -7.49%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.24%EV -7.62%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -5.78%E -3.64%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.03%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -7.49%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:43 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.78%E -3.64%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16%EV -9.34%E -6.10%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -1.25%E -0.263%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.63%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -9.98%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -9.98%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.13%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.81%EV -8.74%E -5.68%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -10.60%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -12.20%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -13.60%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.97%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -9.98%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -13.60%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.23%EV -9.34%E -6.10%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -25.16%E -6.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-06 12:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.20%E -3.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -9.34%E -6.10%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -9.98%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-06 12:55 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.14% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.14% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.14% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.14% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.29% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |