The School of Odds
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Peterborough United v Burton Albion

2026-10-17 11:30 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Peterborough United (Local)

Prediction 50.09%2.00fair odd
EV +0.181%
Edge +0.091%
Kelly +0.181%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.65%49.84%50.13%51.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.852.0055.56%52.88%54.05%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Burton Albion (Visit)

Prediction 25.79%3.88fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.528%
Kelly -0.716%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.70%25.97%25.86%27.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.513.503.8030.77%28.47%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.12%4.15fair odd
EV -0.862%
Edge -0.210%
Kelly -0.277%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.96%24.19%24.00%25.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.763.754.1128.17%26.61%26.67%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Peterborough United (Local): 50.09%; Burton Albion (Visit): 25.79%; Draw: 24.12%. For Peterborough United (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.996. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.000, producing a positive expected value of +0.181%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.181%E +0.091%K +0.181%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -10.75%E -2.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.181%E +0.091%K +0.181%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -10.75%E -2.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.181%E +0.091%K +0.181%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -10.75%E -2.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.181%E +0.091%K +0.181%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -10.75%E -2.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.181%E +0.091%K +0.181%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -10.75%E -2.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.181%E +0.091%K +0.181%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -10.75%E -2.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.181%E +0.091%K +0.181%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -10.75%E -2.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -2.32%E -1.19%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -14.90%E -4.51%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -14.37%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.65%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -16.19%E -4.98%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -14.37%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-10 14:01
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.78%EV -3.33%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -16.19%E -4.98%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -14.37%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.78%EV -3.33%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -16.19%E -4.98%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -14.37%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:01
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.78%EV -3.33%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -16.19%E -4.98%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -14.37%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.78%EV -3.33%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -16.19%E -4.98%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -14.37%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-10 15:15
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.74%EV -6.83%E -3.67%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.29%EV -7.42%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.96%EV -0.862%E -0.210%K -0.277%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.33%E -3.96%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -2.00%E -0.528%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 17:34
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.33%E -3.96%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -2.00%E -0.528%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.33%E -3.96%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -2.00%E -0.528%K -0.716%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 20:00
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.81%EV -7.83%E -4.26%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.34%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.85%EV -5.45%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 15:30
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -8.33%E -4.55%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.29%E -0.878%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.52%E -0.879%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -8.33%E -4.55%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -3.29%E -0.878%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 17:35
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -8.33%E -4.55%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -4.72%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -8.33%E -4.55%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -3.29%E -0.878%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -8.33%E -4.55%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 16:55
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.33%E -4.55%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 15:25
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.33%E -4.55%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.33%E -4.55%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.33%E -4.55%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 15:25
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.83%E -4.85%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.75%E -2.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.84%E -5.46%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 19:59
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.84%E -5.46%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 20:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 49.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.23%16.3%2026-10-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-10 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-10 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-10-10 15:50