The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Peterborough United v Burton Albion

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 11:30 UTC

Final: Peterborough United 2–2 Burton Albion

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Peterborough United (Local)

Prediction 51.61%1.94fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.749%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.72%51.73%51.34%54.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.811.821.9159.88%55.20%54.95%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Burton Albion (Visit)

Prediction 24.44%4.09fair odd
EV +0.212%
Edge +0.052%
Kelly +0.068%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.75%24.34%24.57%25.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.783.754.1028.57%26.46%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.95%4.18fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.262%
Kelly -0.346%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.75%23.93%24.09%24.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.843.854.1327.40%26.02%25.97%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peterborough United (Local): 51.61%; Burton Albion (Visit): 24.44%; Draw: 23.95%. For Burton Albion (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.09. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.212%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -9.69%E -5.54%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +0.212%E +0.052%K +0.068%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 11:18
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -9.69%E -5.54%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV +0.212%E +0.052%K +0.068%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 11:20
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.08%EV -6.59%E -3.64%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.66%EV -0.766%E -0.189%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.26%EV -1.08%E -0.262%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 11:25
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -9.17%E -5.21%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -2.23%E -0.558%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -10.72%E -6.20%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -2.23%E -0.558%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 11:25
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.69%E -5.54%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -2.23%E -0.558%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.99%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -13.82%E -8.27%K -20.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -2.23%E -0.558%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 11:14
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.14%E -4.57%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -3.45%E -0.875%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 11:20
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.14%E -4.57%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -3.45%E -0.875%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -9.17%E -5.21%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.59%EV -3.70%E -0.939%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.59%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 11:10
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.47%EV -8.14%E -4.57%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.83%EV -4.19%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.70%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 11:20
picklebet_au🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -4.68%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 11:20
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.68%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.68%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.68%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 11:25
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.69%E -5.54%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -4.68%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 11:20
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -5.90%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 11:25
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -8.66%E -4.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -5.90%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.12%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -7.12%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 11:20
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.12%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.99%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 11:15
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.66%E -4.89%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.12%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 11:10
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.02%EV -1.43%E -0.749%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.48%EV -8.34%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.50%EV -6.59%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 11:05
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.34%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 11:20
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.34%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 11:10
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -8.34%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 11:20
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.34%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 11:14
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -8.34%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 11:21
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.34%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.18%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 11:18
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.22%EV -3.49%E -1.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -9.56%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 11:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.22%EV -3.49%E -1.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -9.56%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 11:14
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.22%EV -3.49%E -1.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -9.56%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.22%EV -3.49%E -1.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -9.56%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.22%EV -3.49%E -1.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -9.56%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.22%EV -3.49%E -1.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -9.56%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 11:15
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.22%EV -3.49%E -1.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -9.56%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.56%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.99%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 11:05
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.56%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.99%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.56%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.99%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 11:05
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.56%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.99%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 11:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.56%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.99%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 11:20
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -9.56%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 11:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -9.56%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -9.56%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 11:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -7.62%E -4.26%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -9.56%E -2.59%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 11:25
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -6.59%E -3.64%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -10.79%E -2.96%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.99%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -5.56%E -3.04%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -13.23%E -3.73%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.38%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -6.08%E -3.34%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -13.23%E -3.73%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -12.58%E -3.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 11:15
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -6.08%E -3.34%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -13.23%E -3.73%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -12.58%E -3.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -6.08%E -3.34%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -13.23%E -3.73%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -12.58%E -3.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 11:15
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -6.59%E -3.64%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -13.23%E -3.73%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -12.58%E -3.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -6.59%E -3.64%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -13.23%E -3.73%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -12.58%E -3.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 11:15
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.69%E -5.54%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.45%E -4.13%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -8.99%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 11:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-10-17 11:25
Matchbook◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-10-17 11:25
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-10-17 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-10-17 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.73%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%1.7%2026-10-17 11:25