Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Peterborough United v Burton Albion

2026-10-17 11:30 UTC — League 1

Frente a frente

33 casas de apostas (9 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Peterborough United (Local)

Previsão 50.18%1.99odd justa
EV +0.366%
Vantagem +0.183%
Kelly +0.366%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.65%49.98%50.19%51.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.891.852.0055.56%53.01%54.05%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Burton Albion (Visitante)

Previsão 25.89%3.86odd justa
EV -1.61%
Vantagem -0.423%
Kelly -0.575%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.70%25.98%25.93%27.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.513.503.8030.77%28.47%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.92%4.18odd justa
EV -1.67%
Vantagem -0.406%
Kelly -0.537%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.96%24.04%23.88%25.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.553.773.804.1128.17%26.55%26.32%24.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Peterborough United (Local): 50.18%; Burton Albion (Visitante): 25.89%; Empate: 23.92%. Para Peterborough United (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.99. 7 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.00, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.366%.

Odds das casas de apostas (33 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.366%E +0.183%K +0.366%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.97%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -11.48%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.366%E +0.183%K +0.366%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.97%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -11.48%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.366%E +0.183%K +0.366%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.97%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -11.48%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.366%E +0.183%K +0.366%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.97%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -11.48%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.366%E +0.183%K +0.366%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.97%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -11.48%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.366%E +0.183%K +0.366%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.97%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -11.48%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.366%E +0.183%K +0.366%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.97%E -3.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -11.48%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -2.14%E -1.10%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -14.55%E -4.41%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -15.07%E -4.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.65%EV -2.65%E -1.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -15.85%E -4.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -15.07%E -4.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-10 14:01
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.78%EV -3.15%E -1.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -15.85%E -4.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -15.07%E -4.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.78%EV -3.15%E -1.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -15.85%E -4.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -15.07%E -4.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:01
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.78%EV -3.15%E -1.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -15.85%E -4.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -15.07%E -4.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.78%EV -3.15%E -1.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -15.85%E -4.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -15.07%E -4.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -6.16%E -3.29%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.38%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-10 15:15
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.74%EV -6.66%E -3.58%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.29%EV -7.05%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.96%EV -1.67%E -0.406%K -0.537%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -1.61%E -0.423%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.69%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 17:34
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -1.61%E -0.423%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.69%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.16%E -3.87%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -1.61%E -0.423%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.69%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 20:00
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.81%EV -7.66%E -4.16%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.34%EV -4.46%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.85%EV -6.22%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 15:30
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.90%E -0.774%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.30%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.90%E -0.774%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -7.89%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 17:35
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.79%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -5.50%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -2.90%E -0.774%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.28%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.79%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -6.69%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.38%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.30%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 20:19
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.38%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 15:25
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.38%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.38%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.17%E -4.46%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.38%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 15:25
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.67%E -4.76%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -4.20%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.48%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.67%E -5.37%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -4.20%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 19:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -9.67%E -5.37%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -8.08%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 21:35
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.67%E -5.37%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.38%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.87%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 20:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 49.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.23%16.3%2026-10-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-10 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-10 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-10-10 15:50