Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Peterborough United v Burton Albion

2026-10-17 11:30 UTC — League 1

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Peterborough United (Local)

Prévision 50.11%2.00cote équitable
EV +0.215%
Avantage +0.107%
Kelly +0.215%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.65%49.92%50.11%51.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.891.852.0055.56%52.94%54.05%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Burton Albion (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.97%3.85cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.350%
Kelly -0.475%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.70%26.02%25.97%27.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.513.503.8030.77%28.47%28.57%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.93%4.18cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.404%
Kelly -0.534%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.96%24.06%23.92%25.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.773.774.1128.17%26.56%26.49%24.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Peterborough United (Local) : 50.11% ; Burton Albion (Visiteur) : 25.97% ; Match nul : 23.93%. Pour Peterborough United (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.996. 7 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.000, pour une espérance positive de +0.215%.

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.215%E +0.107%K +0.215%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -11.47%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.215%E +0.107%K +0.215%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -11.47%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.215%E +0.107%K +0.215%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -11.47%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.215%E +0.107%K +0.215%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -11.47%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.215%E +0.107%K +0.215%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -11.47%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.215%E +0.107%K +0.215%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -11.47%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV +0.215%E +0.107%K +0.215%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -11.47%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -2.29%E -1.17%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -14.31%E -4.34%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.65%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -15.61%E -4.80%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-10 14:01
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.78%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -15.61%E -4.80%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.78%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -15.61%E -4.80%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:01
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.78%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -15.61%E -4.80%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.78%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -15.61%E -4.80%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -15.06%E -4.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.08%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-10 15:15
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.74%EV -6.80%E -3.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.29%EV -6.78%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.96%EV -1.66%E -0.404%K -0.534%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -1.33%E -0.350%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 17:34
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -1.33%E -0.350%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -1.33%E -0.350%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 20:00
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.81%EV -7.80%E -4.24%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.34%EV -4.19%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.85%EV -6.21%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 15:30
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -2.63%E -0.701%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.63%E -0.701%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -7.88%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 17:35
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -5.49%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -2.63%E -0.701%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.27%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.52%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -6.68%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.29%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 20:19
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.08%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 15:25
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.08%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.08%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.08%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 15:25
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.80%E -4.84%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -3.93%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.47%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -3.93%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.08%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 19:59
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.12%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.86%E -3.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 20:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 49.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.23%16.3%2026-10-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-10 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-10 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-10-10 15:50