Oxford United v Milton Keynes Dons

2026-08-15 11:30 — League 1

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Oxford United (Local)

Odds

2.0548.78%Min

2.1347.02%Mean

2.1247.17%Median

2.2045.45%Max

Consensus probabilities

41.49%2.410Min

44.74%2.235Max

42.53%2.351Mean

42.72%2.341Median

42.72%2.341IQM

42.53%2.351Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.20 under the IQM model: 42.72%

EV -6.02%Edge -2.73%Kelly -5.01%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)

Odds

3.0033.33%Min

3.2031.26%Mean

3.2031.25%Median

3.4029.41%Max

Consensus probabilities

27.63%3.619Min

30.43%3.287Max

28.62%3.494Mean

28.28%3.536Median

28.26%3.539IQM

28.64%3.491Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.40 under the IQM model: 28.26%

EV -3.92%Edge -1.15%Kelly -1.63%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.0033.33%Min

3.1731.50%Mean

3.1032.26%Median

3.4029.41%Max

Consensus probabilities

27.63%3.619Min

29.15%3.431Max

28.84%3.467Mean

29.01%3.448Median

29.02%3.446IQM

28.83%3.469Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.40 under the IQM model: 29.02%

EV -1.32%Edge -0.390%Kelly -0.552%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Oxford United (Local) ▼	Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.59%EV -6.02% E -2.73% K -5.01% G +0.000%	3.31I 30.21% NM 28.31%EV -6.47% E -1.95% K -2.80% G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06% NM 29.10%EV -6.55% E -2.03% K -2.95% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-30 10:09
888sport (SE)	2.20I 45.45% NM 41.49%EV -6.02% E -2.73% K -5.01% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -15.23% E -5.08% K -7.61% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.09%EV -5.68% E -1.75% K -2.52% G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-06-30 09:39
888sport	2.20I 45.45% NM 41.49%EV -6.02% E -2.73% K -5.01% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -15.23% E -5.08% K -7.61% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.09%EV -5.68% E -1.75% K -2.52% G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)	2.20I 45.45% NM 41.49%EV -6.02% E -2.73% K -5.01% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -15.23% E -5.08% K -7.61% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.09%EV -5.68% E -1.75% K -2.52% G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill	2.20I 45.45% NM 41.49%EV -6.02% E -2.73% K -5.01% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -15.23% E -5.08% K -7.61% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.09%EV -5.68% E -1.75% K -2.52% G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-06-30 14:19
Marathon Bet	2.18I 45.87% NM 42.78%EV -6.87% E -3.15% K -5.82% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.26%EV -6.75% E -2.05% K -2.93% G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06% NM 28.96%EV -6.55% E -2.03% K -2.95% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-06-30 10:09
betfred_uk	2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -8.15% E -3.79% K -7.09% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.92%EV -3.92% E -1.15% K -1.63% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.92%EV -1.32% E -0.390% K -0.552% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-30 05:39
SportsBet	2.12I 47.17% NM 44.14%EV -9.43% E -4.45% K -8.42% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 27.93%EV -5.34% E -1.59% K -2.27% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 27.93%EV -2.78% E -0.829% K -1.18% G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-06-30 05:39
BetRivers	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -9.43% E -4.45% K -8.42% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.58% E -2.99% K -4.35% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -10.03% E -3.24% K -4.78% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 06:49
Virgin Bet	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -9.43% E -4.45% K -8.42% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.58% E -2.99% K -4.35% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -10.03% E -3.24% K -4.78% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -9.43% E -4.45% K -8.42% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.58% E -2.99% K -4.35% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -10.03% E -3.24% K -4.78% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -9.43% E -4.45% K -8.42% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.58% E -2.99% K -4.35% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -10.03% E -3.24% K -4.78% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -9.43% E -4.45% K -8.42% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.58% E -2.99% K -4.35% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -10.03% E -3.24% K -4.78% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -9.43% E -4.45% K -8.42% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.58% E -2.99% K -4.35% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -10.03% E -3.24% K -4.78% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -9.43% E -4.45% K -8.42% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.58% E -2.99% K -4.35% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -10.03% E -3.24% K -4.78% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -9.43% E -4.45% K -8.42% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.58% E -2.99% K -4.35% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -10.03% E -3.24% K -4.78% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -9.43% E -4.45% K -8.42% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.58% E -2.99% K -4.35% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -10.03% E -3.24% K -4.78% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -9.43% E -4.45% K -8.42% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.58% E -2.99% K -4.35% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -10.03% E -3.24% K -4.78% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -9.43% E -4.45% K -8.42% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.58% E -2.99% K -4.35% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -10.03% E -3.24% K -4.78% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -9.43% E -4.45% K -8.42% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.58% E -2.99% K -4.35% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -10.03% E -3.24% K -4.78% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 10:20
Unibet	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -9.43% E -4.45% K -8.42% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -9.58% E -2.99% K -4.35% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -10.03% E -3.24% K -4.78% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 10:39
Codere (IT)	2.11I 47.39% NM 43.12%EV -9.86% E -4.67% K -8.88% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.00%EV -8.16% E -2.51% K -3.63% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.88%EV -8.58% E -2.72% K -3.99% G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-06-30 05:39
Betr (AU)	2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -10.29% E -4.90% K -9.35% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.63%EV -3.92% E -1.15% K -1.63% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.63%EV -1.32% E -0.390% K -0.552% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-30 05:38
Bet Right	2.10I 47.62% NM 43.81%EV -10.29% E -4.90% K -9.35% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.31%EV -8.16% E -2.51% K -3.63% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.88%EV -4.23% E -1.28% K -1.84% G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-06-30 05:39
LeoVegas	2.08I 48.08% NM 43.28%EV -11.14% E -5.36% K -10.32% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.13%EV -9.58% E -2.99% K -4.35% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.58%EV -8.58% E -2.72% K -3.99% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-07-04 17:10
Paddy Power	2.05I 48.78% NM 44.59%EV -12.42% E -6.06% K -11.83% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.70%EV -6.75% E -2.05% K -2.93% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.70%EV -4.23% E -1.28% K -1.84% G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-06-30 05:39
Sky Bet	2.05I 48.78% NM 43.06%EV -12.42% E -6.06% K -11.83% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 28.47%EV -12.40% E -4.00% K -5.91% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 28.47%EV -10.03% E -3.24% K -4.78% G +0.000%	13.3%	2026-06-30 05:39
BoyleSports	2.05I 48.78% NM 42.65%EV -12.42% E -6.06% K -11.83% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 28.20%EV -12.40% E -4.00% K -5.91% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 29.14%EV -12.93% E -4.31% K -6.47% G +0.000%	14.4%	2026-06-30 05:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.00I 50.00% NM 42.74%EV -14.56% E -7.28% K -14.56% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 27.58%EV -12.40% E -4.00% K -5.91% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 29.68%EV -16.42% E -5.70% K -8.73% G +0.000%	17.0%	2026-06-30 06:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Oxford United (Local)	Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	3.05I 32.79%	125.1%	2026-07-05 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	3.05I 32.79%	125.1%	2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	3.05I 32.79%	125.1%	2026-07-05 14:15