Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oxford United v Milton Keynes Dons

2026-08-15 11:30 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oxford United (Local)

Prediction 42.48%2.35fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.72%42.56%42.46%44.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.152.152.2749.50%46.43%46.51%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)

Prediction 29.09%3.44fair odd
EV +0.344%
Edge +0.100%
Kelly +0.140%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.86%29.00%29.10%29.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.243.203.4532.26%30.83%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.44%3.52fair odd
EV -0.471%
Edge -0.134%
Kelly -0.188%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.59%28.44%28.44%29.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.273.253.5032.79%30.54%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Oxford United (Local): 42.48%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visit): 29.09%; Draw: 28.44%. For Milton Keynes Dons (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.45, producing a positive expected value of +0.344%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV +0.344%E +0.100%K +0.140%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 07:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV +0.344%E +0.100%K +0.140%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 07:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV +0.344%E +0.100%K +0.140%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 07:55
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV +0.344%E +0.100%K +0.140%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 07:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV +0.344%E +0.100%K +0.140%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 07:55
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV +0.344%E +0.100%K +0.140%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 07:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV +0.344%E +0.100%K +0.140%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 07:55
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV +0.344%E +0.100%K +0.140%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 07:56
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV +0.344%E +0.100%K +0.140%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 07:55
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -13.35%E -6.54%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -2.56%E -0.766%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 07:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -13.35%E -6.54%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -2.56%E -0.766%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 07:30
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.31%E -0.975%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.31%E -0.975%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 20:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 11:39
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 11:33
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.20%EV -3.58%E -1.57%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.29%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -4.45%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 13:15
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 12:59
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 13:02
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 13:04
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 11:34
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.57%EV -6.73%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 08:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -7.40%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.46%EV -6.73%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 08:19
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.74%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 10:08
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -7.82%E -3.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.79%EV -14.19%E -7.03%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -13.27%E -4.35%K -6.47%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 07:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.79%EV -14.19%E -7.03%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -13.27%E -4.35%K -6.47%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 07:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -4.85%E -2.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.93%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -4.85%E -2.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.93%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:55
BetUS🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -4.85%E -2.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.93%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.93%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -0.471%E -0.134%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 10:10
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.93%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -0.471%E -0.134%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 10:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.93%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 11:40
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.93%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.31%E -0.975%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 15:20
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.93%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -0.471%E -0.134%K -0.188%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 11:34
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.70%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.93%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 15:34
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -5.70%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.93%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 15:33
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.93%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.93%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 17:05
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.93%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 11:40
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -8.38%E -2.66%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -1.89%E -0.549%K -0.772%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 10:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -8.38%E -2.66%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -1.89%E -0.549%K -0.772%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 10:09
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -8.38%E -2.66%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 13:10
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.38%E -2.66%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 22:39
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.84%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 13:34
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.84%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-13 19:09
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.84%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 13:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.84%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 10:05
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.84%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 10:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.84%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 10:04
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.84%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 10:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.84%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 13:09
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.84%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-10 14:24
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.84%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 15:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.8%2026-08-14 18:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.8%2026-08-14 18:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.8%2026-08-14 18:10
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.8%2026-08-14 19:24
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-08-14 19:20

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.