Language:English
Oxford United v Milton Keynes Dons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oxford United (Local)
Prediction 42.20%2.37fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.51%42.26%42.21%44.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.172.202.2849.50%46.00%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)
Prediction 29.37%3.41fair odd
EV +2.79%
Edge +0.796%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.70%29.23%29.36%30.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.223.203.5032.79%31.02%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.44%3.52fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -0.976%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.46%28.51%28.44%29.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.243.203.4032.79%30.84%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oxford United (Local): 42.20%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visit): 29.37%; Draw: 28.44%. For Milton Keynes Dons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +2.79%E +0.796%K +1.11%G +0.031% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +2.79%E +0.796%K +1.11%G +0.031% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +2.79%E +0.796%K +1.11%G +0.031% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +2.79%E +0.796%K +1.11%G +0.031% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +2.79%E +0.796%K +1.11%G +0.031% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +2.79%E +0.796%K +1.11%G +0.031% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +2.79%E +0.796%K +1.11%G +0.031% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.87%EV -13.07%E -6.35%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -1.62%E -0.484%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.87%EV -13.07%E -6.35%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -1.62%E -0.484%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -13.50%E -6.58%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -1.62%E -0.484%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -13.50%E -6.58%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -1.62%E -0.484%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -14.76%E -7.31%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -3.09%E -0.936%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -13.27%E -4.35%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -14.76%E -7.31%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -3.09%E -0.936%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -13.27%E -4.35%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.20%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.33%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.47%EV -3.89%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 11:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.43%E -3.89%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -6.73%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 07:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 07:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 07:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 13:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.32%E -0.976%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 22:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -4.74%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.32%E -0.976%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.32%E -0.976%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 10:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 11:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 11:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 11:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 10:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 10:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -7.49%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.32%E -0.976%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -5.48%E -2.45%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -7.49%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 11:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -5.48%E -2.45%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -7.49%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 11:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -5.48%E -2.45%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -7.49%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 11:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.49%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.74%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.49%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.74%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.49%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 11:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.49%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 04:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.32%E -0.976%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 10:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 01:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-13 19:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 13:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 13:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-10 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.6% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |