The School of Odds

Oxford United v Milton Keynes Dons

2026-08-15 11:30 UTC — League 1

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Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Oxford United (Local)

Prediction 41.08%2.43fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.99%41.29%41.12%43.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.202.3248%45%45%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)

Prediction 30.14%3.32fair odd
EV +5.50%
Edge +1.57%
Kelly +2.20%
Growth +0.121%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%29.88%30.13%31.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.903.113.103.5034%32%32%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.78%3.47fair odd
EV -5.02%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.09%28.83%28.75%29.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.183.203.3032%31%31%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -13.74%E -6.54%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV +5.50%E +1.57%K +2.20%G +0.121%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -0.530%E -0.161%K -0.230%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 14:24
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -2.04%E -0.627%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 14:24
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 14:00
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -11.68%E -5.43%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 14:24
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:49
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 10:20
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 10:39
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 14:15
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-20 19:39
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 19:40
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 13:34
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 19:40
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.41%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -10.21%E -3.27%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 19:39
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.41%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -10.21%E -3.27%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 19:40
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.68%E -5.43%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 14:24
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.42%EV -4.70%E -2.03%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.64%EV -7.76%E -2.54%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.94%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 15:50
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 15:45
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 19:40
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-20 14:15
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 08:36
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 09:39
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 14:19
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-22 13:34
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.68%E -5.43%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 13:35
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -4.70%E -2.03%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -10.18%E -3.41%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 12:00
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -4.70%E -2.03%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -10.18%E -3.41%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 12:00
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 13:00
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 12:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.68%E -5.43%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-20 19:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 41.26%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%11.2%2026-07-20 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 43.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 34.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 22.57%45.3%2026-07-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 43.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 34.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 22.57%45.3%2026-07-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 43.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 34.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 22.57%45.3%2026-07-21 12:25