Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Oxford United v Milton Keynes Dons

Início: 2026-08-15 11:30 UTC

Final: Oxford United 2–2 Milton Keynes Dons

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Oxford United (Local)

Previsão 42.20%2.37odd justa
EV -3.79%
Vantagem -1.66%
Kelly -2.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.51%42.26%42.21%44.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.022.172.202.2849.50%46.00%45.45%43.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante)

Previsão 29.37%3.41odd justa
EV +2.79%
Vantagem +0.796%
Kelly +1.11%
Crescimento +0.031%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.70%29.23%29.36%30.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.223.203.5032.79%31.02%31.25%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.44%3.52odd justa
EV -3.32%
Vantagem -0.976%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.46%28.51%28.44%29.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.243.203.4032.79%30.84%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Oxford United (Local): 42.20%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante): 29.37%; Empate: 28.44%. Para Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.41. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.79%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +2.79%E +0.796%K +1.11%G +0.031%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +2.79%E +0.796%K +1.11%G +0.031%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +2.79%E +0.796%K +1.11%G +0.031%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +2.79%E +0.796%K +1.11%G +0.031%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:34
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +2.79%E +0.796%K +1.11%G +0.031%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +2.79%E +0.796%K +1.11%G +0.031%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:34
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -10.54%E -4.97%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +2.79%E +0.796%K +1.11%G +0.031%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:34
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.87%EV -13.07%E -6.35%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -1.62%E -0.484%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 10:35
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.87%EV -13.07%E -6.35%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -1.62%E -0.484%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 10:34
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -13.50%E -6.58%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -1.62%E -0.484%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -13.50%E -6.58%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -1.62%E -0.484%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 10:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -14.76%E -7.31%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -3.09%E -0.936%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -13.27%E -4.35%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 10:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -14.76%E -7.31%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -3.09%E -0.936%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -13.27%E -4.35%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 10:34
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.20%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.33%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.47%EV -3.89%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.43%E -3.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -4.26%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -6.73%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 07:44
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 07:25
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 07:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 13:04
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.32%E -0.976%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:58
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -4.74%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.32%E -0.976%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 22:54
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.32%E -0.976%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 22:54
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 10:44
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:20
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 22:54
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 11:09
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 11:09
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.85%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 10:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -7.49%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.32%E -0.976%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -5.48%E -2.45%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -7.49%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -5.48%E -2.45%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -7.49%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:15
BetUS🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -5.48%E -2.45%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -7.49%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:15
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.49%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.74%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.49%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.74%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 22:54
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.49%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:09
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -7.49%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 04:09
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 22:59
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.32%E -0.976%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:44
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 01:34
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 23:00
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-13 19:09
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:25
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 13:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 13:09
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-10 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 22:54
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 22:55
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 22:54
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.01%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 22:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-15 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-15 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-15 11:25
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-15 11:25
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.6%2026-08-15 11:25