La escuela de los momios

Oxford United v Milton Keynes Dons

2026-08-15 11:30 UTC — League 1

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oxford United (Local)

Predicción 41.08%2.43momio equitativo
EV -4.70%
Ventaja -2.03%
Kelly -3.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.99%41.29%41.12%43.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.202.202.3247.62%45.40%45.45%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante)

Predicción 30.14%3.32momio equitativo
EV +5.50%
Ventaja +1.57%
Kelly +2.20%
Crecimiento +0.121%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.35%29.88%30.13%31.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.113.103.5034.48%32.14%32.26%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.78%3.47momio equitativo
EV -5.02%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -2.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.09%28.83%28.75%29.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.183.203.3032.26%31.45%31.25%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -13.74%E -6.54%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV +5.50%E +1.57%K +2.20%G +0.121%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -0.530%E -0.161%K -0.230%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 14:24
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -2.04%E -0.627%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 14:24
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 14:00
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -11.68%E -5.43%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 14:24
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:49
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 10:20
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -12.92%E -6.09%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 10:39
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 14:15
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-20 19:39
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 19:40
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-22 13:34
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 19:40
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.41%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -10.21%E -3.27%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 19:39
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.41%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.20%EV -10.21%E -3.27%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 19:40
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.68%E -5.43%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 14:24
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.42%EV -4.70%E -2.03%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.64%EV -7.76%E -2.54%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.94%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 14:20
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 14:15
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 19:40
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -8.07%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-20 14:15
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 08:36
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 09:39
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 14:19
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -9.63%E -4.38%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-22 13:34
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.68%E -5.43%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-22 13:35
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -4.70%E -2.03%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -10.18%E -3.41%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 12:00
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -4.70%E -2.03%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -10.18%E -3.41%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 12:00
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 13:00
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 12:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.68%E -5.43%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-20 19:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 41.26%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%11.2%2026-07-20 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 43.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 34.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 22.57%45.3%2026-07-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 43.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 34.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 22.57%45.3%2026-07-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 43.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 34.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 22.57%45.3%2026-07-21 12:25