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Notts County v Burton Albion

2026-08-29 14:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Notts County (Local)

Prediction 39.77%2.51fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -3.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.09%39.71%40.05%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.332.302.4045.45%42.94%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Burton Albion (Visit)

Prediction 32.10%3.12fair odd
EV -0.484%
Edge -0.156%
Kelly -0.230%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.55%32.13%31.90%33.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.862.853.1037.04%34.92%35.09%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.12%3.56fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.39%28.16%28.05%28.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.273.263.4032.26%30.54%30.67%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Notts County (Local): 39.77%; Burton Albion (Visit): 32.10%; Draw: 28.12%. For Burton Albion (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.10, with an expected value of -0.484%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 19:00
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 23:34
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 23:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 23:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 23:34
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.69%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 23:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -5.34%E -2.24%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -13.32%E -4.94%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 23:34
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 23:25
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 23:24
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.55%EV -8.12%E -3.52%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -2.09%E -0.685%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.73%EV -8.31%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 01:54
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -0.484%E -0.156%K -0.230%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 23:25
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 23:34
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 23:29
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 23:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 23:34
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 23:40
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 23:29
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 00:43
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.52%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 00:43
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.72%EV -8.92%E -3.89%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -2.41%E -0.793%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -8.31%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 01:49
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.55%E -2.62%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 23:35
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 23:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 37.93%2.56I 39.06%NM 33.49%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.58%16.6%2026-08-22 19:00

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