Language:English
Notts County v Burton Albion
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Notts County (Local)
Prediction 43.47%2.30fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.28%43.72%43.39%46.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.102.122.2351.81%47.62%47.17%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burton Albion (Visit)
Prediction 28.32%3.53fair odd
EV +3.38%
Edge +0.927%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.70%28.16%28.30%30.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.083.353.303.6532.47%29.88%30.30%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.20%3.55fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.367%
Kelly -0.514%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.84%28.12%28.31%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.313.303.5031.25%30.26%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Notts County (Local): 43.47%; Burton Albion (Visit): 28.32%; Draw: 28.20%. For Burton Albion (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.23%EV -14.80%E -7.55%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -0.867%E -0.248%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.23%EV -14.80%E -7.55%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -0.867%E -0.248%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -15.23%E -7.81%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -0.867%E -0.248%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -15.23%E -7.81%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -0.867%E -0.248%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -16.10%E -8.34%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -0.867%E -0.248%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -16.10%E -8.34%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -0.867%E -0.248%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.14%EV -3.06%E -1.37%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.80%EV -2.00%E -0.578%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.06%EV -6.64%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.28%E -0.662%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.28%E -0.662%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.28%E -0.662%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.12%EV -5.97%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.46%EV -7.49%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 13:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.36%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.36%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.36%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.36%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.36%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.36%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 13:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.84%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -12.76%E -4.14%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -1.85%E -0.531%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36% | 2.2% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |