Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Notts County v Burton Albion

Inizio: 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

Finale: Notts County 2–1 Burton Albion

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

53 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Notts County (Casa)

Previsione 43.47%2.30quota equa
EV -3.06%
Vantaggio -1.37%
Kelly -2.49%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.28%43.72%43.39%46.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.932.102.122.2351.81%47.62%47.17%44.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Burton Albion (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.32%3.53quota equa
EV +3.38%
Vantaggio +0.927%
Kelly +1.28%
Crescita +0.043%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.70%28.16%28.30%30.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.083.353.303.6532.47%29.88%30.30%27.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.20%3.55quota equa
EV -1.28%
Vantaggio -0.367%
Kelly -0.514%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.84%28.12%28.31%29.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.313.303.5031.25%30.26%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Notts County (Casa): 43.47%; Burton Albion (Trasferta): 28.32%; Pareggio: 28.20%. Per Burton Albion (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.53. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.65, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.38%.

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:45
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:45
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.23%EV -14.80%E -7.55%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -0.867%E -0.248%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.23%EV -14.80%E -7.55%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -0.867%E -0.248%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 13:45
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -15.23%E -7.81%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -0.867%E -0.248%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -15.23%E -7.81%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -0.867%E -0.248%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -16.10%E -8.34%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -0.867%E -0.248%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 13:45
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -16.10%E -8.34%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -0.867%E -0.248%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 13:45
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.14%EV -3.06%E -1.37%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.80%EV -2.00%E -0.578%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.06%EV -6.64%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.28%E -0.662%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.28%E -0.662%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 13:35
BetUS🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.28%E -0.662%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 13:35
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 13:35
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:45
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.12%EV -5.97%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.46%EV -7.49%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:55
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 13:40
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 13:40
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:35
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:35
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:35
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 13:35
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:50
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 13:35
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 13:50
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 13:48
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:40
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 13:45
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 13:45
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.36%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.36%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 13:40
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.36%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:40
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.36%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.36%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:45
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.36%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 13:44
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:54
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:50
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:55
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.84%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -12.76%E -4.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -1.85%E -0.531%K -0.745%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-29 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-29 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-29 13:45
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-29 13:55
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%2.2%2026-08-29 13:35