默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Notts County v Burton Albion

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

最终结果: Notts County 2–1 Burton Albion

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Notts County (主队)

预测 43.47%2.30公平赔率
EV -3.06%
优势 -1.37%
Kelly -2.49%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.23

博彩公司预测分布
42.28%43.72%43.39%46.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.932.102.122.2351.81%47.62%47.17%44.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

Burton Albion (客队)

预测 28.32%3.53公平赔率
EV +3.38%
优势 +0.927%
Kelly +1.28%
增长率 +0.043%

假设最高赔率为 3.65

博彩公司预测分布
25.70%28.16%28.30%30.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.083.353.303.6532.47%29.88%30.30%27.40%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.20%3.55公平赔率
EV -1.28%
优势 -0.367%
Kelly -0.514%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.84%28.12%28.31%29.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.313.303.5031.25%30.26%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Notts County (主队):43.47%;Burton Albion (客队):28.32%;平局:28.20%。 对于“Burton Albion (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.53。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.65,对应+3.38%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:45
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:45
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -12.19%E -6.03%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +3.38%E +0.927%K +1.28%G +0.043%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.23%EV -14.80%E -7.55%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -0.867%E -0.248%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.23%EV -14.80%E -7.55%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -0.867%E -0.248%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 13:45
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -15.23%E -7.81%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -0.867%E -0.248%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -15.23%E -7.81%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -0.867%E -0.248%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -16.10%E -8.34%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -0.867%E -0.248%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 13:45
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -16.10%E -8.34%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -0.867%E -0.248%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 13:45
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.14%EV -3.06%E -1.37%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.80%EV -2.00%E -0.578%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.06%EV -6.64%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.28%E -0.662%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.28%E -0.662%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 13:35
BetUS🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -2.28%E -0.662%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 13:35
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 13:35
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.06%E -6.53%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:45
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.12%EV -5.97%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.46%EV -7.49%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:55
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 13:40
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 13:40
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:35
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:35
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:35
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 13:35
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:50
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 13:35
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 13:50
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 13:48
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:40
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 13:45
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 13:45
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.36%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.36%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 13:40
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.36%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -4.10%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:40
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.36%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.36%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:45
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.36%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 13:44
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:54
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:50
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.20%E -3.93%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:55
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.84%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -12.76%E -4.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -1.85%E -0.531%K -0.745%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-29 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-29 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-29 13:45
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-29 13:55
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%2.2%2026-08-29 13:35