Language:English
Notts County v Bradford City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Notts County (Local)
Prediction 32.80%3.05fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.534%
Kelly -0.801%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.01%32.81%32.61%34.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.872.903.0037.04%34.84%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bradford City (Visit)
Prediction 38.88%2.57fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.83%38.83%39.02%40.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.352.352.5044.44%42.48%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.32%3.53fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.834%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.20%28.37%28.36%29.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.243.253.4332.26%30.86%30.77%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Notts County (Local): 32.80%; Bradford City (Visit): 38.88%; Draw: 28.32%. For Notts County (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -1.60%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -12.52%E -5.56%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 12:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -12.52%E -5.56%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 12:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 08:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -7.86%E -3.31%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 13:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -11.35%E -4.98%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 11:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 11:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -11.35%E -4.98%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -11.35%E -4.98%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -11.35%E -4.98%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -11.35%E -4.98%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -12.52%E -5.56%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -12.52%E -5.56%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -5.54%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 11:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-07 10:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 11:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 19:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 14:26 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 19:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 19:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 19:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.78%EV -9.02%E -3.86%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 11:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -12.52%E -5.56%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.46%EV -8.49%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.26%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.46%EV -8.49%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.26%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.38%EV -9.47%E -3.43%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.66%EV -2.86%E -0.834%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 14:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.37%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.34%EV -11.64%E -3.73%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.37%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.34%EV -11.64%E -3.73%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 17:36 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -10.13%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%EV -4.36%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 09:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -10.13%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%EV -4.36%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 09:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -11.44%E -4.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.44%E -4.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 19:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.24% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.12% | 2.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.55% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.42% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.55% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.42% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.55% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.42% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.46% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.09% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |