Idioma:Español
Notts County v Bradford City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Notts County (Local)
Predicción 32.80%3.05momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -0.534%
Kelly -0.801%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.01%32.81%32.61%34.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.872.903.0037.04%34.84%34.48%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Bradford City (Visitante)
Predicción 38.88%2.57momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -1.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.83%38.83%39.02%40.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.352.352.5044.44%42.48%42.55%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.32%3.53momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -0.834%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.20%28.37%28.36%29.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.243.253.4332.26%30.86%30.77%29.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Notts County (Local): 32.80%; Bradford City (Visitante): 38.88%; Empate: 28.32%. Para Notts County (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.05. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.00, con un valor esperado de -1.60%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -12.52%E -5.56%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 12:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -12.52%E -5.56%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 12:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-07 08:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -7.86%E -3.31%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 13:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -11.35%E -4.98%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 11:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 11:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -11.35%E -4.98%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -11.35%E -4.98%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -11.35%E -4.98%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -11.35%E -4.98%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -12.52%E -5.56%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -12.52%E -5.56%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -5.54%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 11:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-07 10:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 11:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-07 19:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 14:26 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 19:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 19:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 19:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.78%EV -9.02%E -3.86%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 11:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -12.52%E -5.56%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.46%EV -8.49%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.26%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.46%EV -8.49%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.26%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.38%EV -9.47%E -3.43%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.66%EV -2.86%E -0.834%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 14:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.37%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.34%EV -11.64%E -3.73%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.37%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.34%EV -11.64%E -3.73%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 17:36 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -10.13%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%EV -4.36%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 09:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -10.13%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%EV -4.36%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 09:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -11.44%E -4.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.44%E -4.24%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 19:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.24% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.12% | 2.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.55% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.42% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.55% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.42% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.55% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.42% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.46% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.09% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45% | 4.5% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |