StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Notts County v Bradford City

Matchstart: 2026-09-12 11:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Notts County 0–1 Bradford City

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Notts County (Hemma)

Prognos 32.80%3.05rättvist odds
EV -1.60%
Fördel -0.534%
Kelly -0.801%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.01%32.81%32.61%34.38%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.872.903.0037.04%34.84%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Bradford City (Borta)

Prognos 38.88%2.57rättvist odds
EV -2.80%
Fördel -1.12%
Kelly -1.87%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
36.83%38.83%39.02%40.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.252.352.352.5044.44%42.48%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.32%3.53rättvist odds
EV -2.86%
Fördel -0.834%
Kelly -1.18%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.43

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.20%28.37%28.36%29.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.243.253.4332.26%30.86%30.77%29.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Notts County (Hemma): 32.80%; Bradford City (Borta): 38.88%; Oavgjort: 28.32%. För Notts County (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.05. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.00, med väntevärdet -1.60%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 09:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 11:30
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 21:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 21:35
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 21:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 21:35
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 21:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -1.60%E -0.534%K -0.801%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 21:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 09:05
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 13:35
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -12.52%E -5.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 12:18
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -12.52%E -5.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 12:19
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 08:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 11:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -7.86%E -3.31%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 08:40
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 13:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 09:05
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 08:40
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 08:40
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -11.35%E -4.98%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 11:40
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 11:35
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -11.35%E -4.98%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 21:35
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -11.35%E -4.98%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -11.35%E -4.98%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -11.35%E -4.98%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 21:35
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -12.52%E -5.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -12.52%E -5.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 21:35
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -5.54%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 11:35
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 10:14
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 09:09
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 11:34
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 19:45
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 14:26
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 14:30
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 19:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 19:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 19:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.78%EV -9.02%E -3.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 11:35
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -8.16%E -2.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -12.52%E -5.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 09:05
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.46%EV -8.49%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.26%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.46%EV -8.49%E -3.04%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.26%EV -5.13%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.38%EV -9.47%E -3.43%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.66%EV -2.86%E -0.834%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 19:15
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 14:39
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.37%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.34%EV -11.64%E -3.73%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 17:35
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.37%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.34%EV -11.64%E -3.73%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 17:36
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -10.13%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%EV -4.36%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 09:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -10.13%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%EV -4.36%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 09:45
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -11.44%E -4.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 15:55
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.44%E -4.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 19:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.12%2.5%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 33.55%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.42%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04%2.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 33.55%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.42%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04%2.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Matchbook◎2.90I 34.48%NM 33.55%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.42%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.04%2.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.46%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.09%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45%4.5%2026-09-09 17:21