Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.87
assuming max odds 2.15
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northampton Town (Local): 26.14%; Wigan Athletic (Visit): 44.80%; Draw: 29.06%. For Northampton Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.14%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.87%EV +1.14%E +0.295%K +0.398%G +0.005% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%EV -4.12%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.17%EV -7.29%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.686%E -0.181%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.686%E -0.181%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -0.686%E -0.181%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -12.63%E -6.48%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.45%EV -3.82%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.81%EV -6.36%E -3.04%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -3.82%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -14.43%E -7.55%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -16.30%E -5.66%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.19%E -0.350%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.19%E -0.350%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.68%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:43 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.68%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 13:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -8.60%E -4.22%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -8.60%E -4.22%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -1.19%E -0.350%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -2.64%E -0.789%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -2.64%E -0.789%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.24% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26% | 2.0% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |