La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Northampton Town v Wigan Athletic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Northampton Town (Local)
Predicción 26.14%3.83momio equitativo
EV +1.14%
Ventaja +0.295%
Kelly +0.398%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.18%26.12%26.16%27.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.543.503.8729.85%28.22%28.57%25.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wigan Athletic (Visitante)
Predicción 44.80%2.23momio equitativo
EV -3.67%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -3.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.48%44.86%44.85%47.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.062.072.1552.36%48.54%48.31%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.06%3.44momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.350%
Kelly -0.496%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.33%29.01%28.99%30.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.203.203.4034.72%31.28%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.87%EV +1.14%E +0.295%K +0.398%G +0.005% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%EV -4.12%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.17%EV -7.29%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| SportsBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.686%E -0.181%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.686%E -0.181%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -0.686%E -0.181%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -12.63%E -6.48%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| Sky Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| 1xBet | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.45%EV -3.82%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.81%EV -6.36%E -3.04%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -3.82%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Everygame | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| DraftKings | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -14.43%E -7.55%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -16.30%E -5.66%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| LeoVegas | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| PlayUp | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.19%E -0.350%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.19%E -0.350%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Unibet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Casumo | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Grosvenor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.68%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:43 |
| BetRivers | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.68%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| BetUS | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| TAB | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 13:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -8.60%E -4.22%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -8.60%E -4.22%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -1.19%E -0.350%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -2.64%E -0.789%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Neds | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -2.64%E -0.789%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Bovada | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Matchbook | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Smarkets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.24% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26% | 2.0% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |