L’École des cotes

Northampton Town v Wigan Athletic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Northampton Town (Local)

Prévision 26.14%3.83cote équitable
EV +1.14%
Avantage +0.295%
Kelly +0.398%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 3.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.18%26.12%26.16%27.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.543.503.8729.85%28.22%28.57%25.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wigan Athletic (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.80%2.23cote équitable
EV -3.67%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -3.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.48%44.86%44.85%47.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.062.072.1552.36%48.54%48.31%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.06%3.44cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.350%
Kelly -0.496%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.33%29.01%28.99%30.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.203.203.4034.72%31.28%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.87I 25.84%NM 24.87%EV +1.14%E +0.295%K +0.398%G +0.005%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.97%EV -4.12%E -1.93%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.17%EV -7.29%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:45
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.686%E -0.181%K -0.245%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:15
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.686%E -0.181%K -0.245%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:15
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -0.686%E -0.181%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -12.63%E -6.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:10
Sky Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:15
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:10
1xBet3.68I 27.17%NM 25.45%EV -3.82%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.81%EV -6.36%E -3.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:44
Marathon Bet3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -3.82%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:44
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:45
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:44
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:10
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:10
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -14.43%E -7.55%K -15.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -16.30%E -5.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-06 13:15
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:44
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:35
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:35
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.19%E -0.350%K -0.496%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 13:44
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.19%E -0.350%K -0.496%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 13:45
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 13:45
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:44
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:44
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:44
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:35
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.68%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:43
BetRivers3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.68%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:44
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:44
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 13:35
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 13:35
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 13:35
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:09
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -8.60%E -4.22%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:44
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -8.60%E -4.22%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:44
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -1.19%E -0.350%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -2.64%E -0.789%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:44
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -2.64%E -0.789%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:44
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:44
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -7.26%E -3.51%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 13:44
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:44
LowVig.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 13:10
BetOnline.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 13:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26%2.0%2026-04-06 13:45