Language:English
Northampton Town v Peterborough United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Northampton Town (Local)
Prediction 35.63%2.81fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.26%35.64%35.60%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.622.612.7040.00%38.22%38.31%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Peterborough United (Visit)
Prediction 38.54%2.59fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.43%38.54%38.51%39.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.412.402.5043.48%41.52%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.83%3.87fair odd
EV -0.285%
Edge -0.074%
Kelly -0.100%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.37%25.83%25.89%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.553.603.8633.33%28.16%27.78%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northampton Town (Local): 35.63%; Peterborough United (Visit): 38.54%; Draw: 25.83%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.86, with an expected value of -0.285%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -10.88%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 11:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 11:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 11:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.15%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.63%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -1.83%E -0.483%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.15%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.63%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -1.83%E -0.483%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 09:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 11:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 11:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.59%EV -6.29%E -2.39%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.49%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.93%EV -0.285%E -0.074%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.60%EV -6.29%E -2.39%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -13.46%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.60%EV -6.29%E -2.39%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -13.46%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 11:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -6.65%E -2.54%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 11:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.65%E -2.54%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -6.65%E -2.54%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -6.65%E -2.54%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.52%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 11:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.91%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.17%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 16:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 11:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 12:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 12:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 10:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -10.88%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 12:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 08:18 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -8.07%E -3.13%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 09:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -8.07%E -3.13%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 09:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -9.14%E -3.59%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 09:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -9.14%E -3.59%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.46%EV -9.05%E -3.84%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 09:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -1.83%E -0.483%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 12:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 09:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 09:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.43%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -22.50%E -7.50%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.39% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92% | 0.2% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.57% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.57% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.57% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |