L’École des cotes

Northampton Town v Peterborough United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Northampton Town (Local)

Prévision 35.63%2.81cote équitable
EV -3.80%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -2.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.26%35.64%35.60%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.622.612.7040.00%38.22%38.31%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Peterborough United (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.54%2.59cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -2.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.43%38.54%38.51%39.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.412.402.5043.48%41.52%41.67%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.83%3.87cote équitable
EV -0.285%
Avantage -0.074%
Kelly -0.100%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.37%25.83%25.89%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.553.603.8633.33%28.16%27.78%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -10.88%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 11:45
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:55
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:55
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:55
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:55
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:55
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:55
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 11:54
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.15%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.63%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -1.83%E -0.483%K -0.655%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 12:05
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.15%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.63%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -1.83%E -0.483%K -0.655%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 12:05
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 10:30
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 09:14
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 11:55
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 11:55
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.59%EV -6.29%E -2.39%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.49%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.93%EV -0.285%E -0.074%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.60%EV -6.29%E -2.39%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -13.46%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 11:45
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.60%EV -6.29%E -2.39%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -13.46%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 11:45
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -6.65%E -2.54%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 11:45
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.65%E -2.54%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -6.65%E -2.54%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 16:40
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -6.65%E -2.54%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.52%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:45
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.91%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.17%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 16:39
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 16:40
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 12:05
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 12:05
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 11:45
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 12:00
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 12:18
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 12:20
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 12:20
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 10:10
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -10.88%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 12:00
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 08:18
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -8.07%E -3.13%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 09:04
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -8.07%E -3.13%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 09:04
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -9.14%E -3.59%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 09:04
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -9.14%E -3.59%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.46%EV -9.05%E -3.84%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 09:14
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -1.83%E -0.483%K -0.655%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 12:05
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 12:00
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 09:04
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 09:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.43%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -22.50%E -7.50%K -11.25%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-28 12:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.39%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92%0.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.57%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.57%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.57%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-02-28 12:20
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-02-28 12:20