La escuela de los momios

Northampton Town v Peterborough United

Inicio: 2026-02-28 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Northampton Town (Local)

Predicción 35.63%2.81momio equitativo
EV -3.80%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -2.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.26%35.64%35.60%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.622.612.7040.00%38.22%38.31%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Peterborough United (Visitante)

Predicción 38.54%2.59momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -2.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.43%38.54%38.51%39.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.412.402.5043.48%41.52%41.67%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.83%3.87momio equitativo
EV -0.285%
Ventaja -0.074%
Kelly -0.100%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.37%25.83%25.89%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.553.603.8633.33%28.16%27.78%25.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -10.88%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 11:45
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:55
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:55
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:55
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:55
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:55
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:55
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -3.80%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 11:54
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.15%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.63%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -1.83%E -0.483%K -0.655%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 12:05
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.15%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.63%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -1.83%E -0.483%K -0.655%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 12:05
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 10:30
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 09:14
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 11:55
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 11:55
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.59%EV -6.29%E -2.39%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.49%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.93%EV -0.285%E -0.074%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.60%EV -6.29%E -2.39%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -13.46%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 11:45
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.60%EV -6.29%E -2.39%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -13.46%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 11:45
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -6.65%E -2.54%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 11:45
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.65%E -2.54%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -6.65%E -2.54%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 16:40
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -6.65%E -2.54%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.52%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:45
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.91%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.17%EV -4.16%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 16:39
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 16:40
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 12:05
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 12:05
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 11:45
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 12:00
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 12:18
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 12:20
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 12:20
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 10:10
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -10.88%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 12:00
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 08:18
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -8.07%E -3.13%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 09:04
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -8.07%E -3.13%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 09:04
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -9.14%E -3.59%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 09:04
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -9.14%E -3.59%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.46%EV -9.05%E -3.84%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 09:14
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -1.83%E -0.483%K -0.655%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 12:05
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 12:00
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 09:04
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 09:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.43%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -22.50%E -7.50%K -11.25%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-28 12:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.39%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92%0.2%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.57%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.57%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.57%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-02-28 12:20
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-02-28 12:20