Language:English
Northampton Town v Leyton Orient
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Northampton Town (Local)
Prediction 34.69%2.88fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.402%
Kelly -0.619%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.77%34.76%34.74%36.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.702.8540.00%36.99%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leyton Orient (Visit)
Prediction 36.93%2.71fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.21%36.89%36.85%38.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.482.502.6042.55%40.26%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.39%3.52fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.513%
Kelly -0.722%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.88%28.35%28.41%30.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.263.253.4634.72%30.71%30.77%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northampton Town (Local): 34.69%; Leyton Orient (Visit): 36.93%; Draw: 28.39%. For Northampton Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -1.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -1.15%E -0.402%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -10.27%E -4.23%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -1.15%E -0.402%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -10.27%E -4.23%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -1.15%E -0.402%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -10.27%E -4.23%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -5.75%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -5.75%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -12.12%E -5.09%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -12.12%E -5.09%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.01%EV -4.61%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.17%EV -4.36%E -1.68%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.82%EV -1.78%E -0.513%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -4.61%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 14:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.61%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.61%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -4.61%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -13.22%E -5.63%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -4.61%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -13.22%E -5.63%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 14:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -7.04%E -2.63%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.95%E -2.76%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -4.90%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -7.04%E -2.63%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.95%E -2.76%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -4.90%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.92%EV -7.39%E -2.77%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -6.95%E -2.76%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -5.75%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.08%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.08%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.08%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.53%E -3.89%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.42%EV -8.08%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.08%EV -9.16%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -8.78%E -3.34%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -9.12%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.12%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.12%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.12%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 14:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.53%E -3.89%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -18.24%E -6.33%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -13.29%E -5.31%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -13.29%E -5.31%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.92% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.74% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.92% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.74% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.92% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.74% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.92% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.74% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.86% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89% | 2.5% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |