La escuela de los momios

Northampton Town v Leyton Orient

Inicio: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Northampton Town (Local)

Predicción 34.69%2.88momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.402%
Kelly -0.619%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.77%34.76%34.74%36.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.702.702.8540.00%36.99%37.04%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Leyton Orient (Visitante)

Predicción 36.93%2.71momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -1.54%
Kelly -2.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.21%36.89%36.85%38.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.482.502.6042.55%40.26%40.00%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.39%3.52momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.513%
Kelly -0.722%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.88%28.35%28.41%30.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.253.4634.72%30.71%30.77%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -1.15%E -0.402%K -0.619%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -10.27%E -4.23%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:35
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -1.15%E -0.402%K -0.619%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -10.27%E -4.23%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -1.15%E -0.402%K -0.619%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -10.27%E -4.23%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:35
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -5.75%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:35
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -5.75%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:35
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:35
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:40
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:40
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -12.12%E -5.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -12.12%E -5.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Pinnacle2.75I 36.36%NM 35.01%EV -4.61%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.17%EV -4.36%E -1.68%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.82%EV -1.78%E -0.513%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 14:50
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -4.61%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 14:39
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.61%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:49
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.61%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:50
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -4.61%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -13.22%E -5.63%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:35
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -4.61%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -13.22%E -5.63%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:35
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 14:30
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 14:39
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:50
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:35
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:50
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:50
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -7.04%E -2.63%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.95%E -2.76%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -4.90%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:35
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -7.04%E -2.63%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.95%E -2.76%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -4.90%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:35
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.92%EV -7.39%E -2.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -6.95%E -2.76%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -5.75%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:45
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.08%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:55
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.08%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.08%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.53%E -3.89%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:40
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.42%EV -8.08%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.08%EV -9.16%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 14:40
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -8.78%E -3.34%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 14:35
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -9.12%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:34
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.12%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.12%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:30
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.12%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:30
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:35
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:53
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:55
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.53%E -3.89%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -18.24%E -6.33%K -9.70%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-21 14:35
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -13.29%E -5.31%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:45
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -13.29%E -5.31%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.92%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.74%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.92%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.74%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.92%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.74%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.92%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.74%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-02-21 14:55
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.86%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%2.5%2026-02-21 14:55