L’École des cotes

Northampton Town v Leyton Orient

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Northampton Town (Local)

Prévision 34.69%2.88cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.402%
Kelly -0.619%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.77%34.76%34.74%36.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.702.702.8540.00%36.99%37.04%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leyton Orient (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.93%2.71cote équitable
EV -3.99%
Avantage -1.54%
Kelly -2.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.21%36.89%36.85%38.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.482.502.6042.55%40.26%40.00%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.39%3.52cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.513%
Kelly -0.722%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.88%28.35%28.41%30.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.253.4634.72%30.71%30.77%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -1.15%E -0.402%K -0.619%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -10.27%E -4.23%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:35
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -1.15%E -0.402%K -0.619%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -10.27%E -4.23%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -1.15%E -0.402%K -0.619%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -10.27%E -4.23%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:35
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -5.75%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:35
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -5.75%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:35
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:35
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:40
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:40
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -12.12%E -5.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -2.88%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -12.12%E -5.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Pinnacle2.75I 36.36%NM 35.01%EV -4.61%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.17%EV -4.36%E -1.68%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.82%EV -1.78%E -0.513%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 14:50
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -4.61%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 14:39
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.61%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:49
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.61%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:50
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -4.61%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -13.22%E -5.63%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:35
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -4.61%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -13.22%E -5.63%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:35
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 14:30
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 14:39
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:50
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:35
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:50
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:50
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -7.04%E -2.63%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.95%E -2.76%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -4.90%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:35
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -7.04%E -2.63%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.95%E -2.76%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -4.90%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:35
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.92%EV -7.39%E -2.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -6.95%E -2.76%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -5.75%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:45
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.08%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:55
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.08%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.08%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.53%E -3.89%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:40
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.42%EV -8.08%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.08%EV -9.16%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 14:40
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -8.78%E -3.34%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 14:35
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -9.12%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:34
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.12%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.12%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:30
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.12%E -3.48%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:30
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -5.84%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:35
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:53
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:55
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.53%E -3.89%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -11.38%E -4.74%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -18.24%E -6.33%K -9.70%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-21 14:35
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -13.29%E -5.31%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -3.99%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:45
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -13.29%E -5.31%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.69%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.92%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.74%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.92%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.74%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.92%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.74%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.92%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.74%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-02-21 14:55
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.86%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%2.5%2026-02-21 14:55