Language:English
Mansfield Town v Reading
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mansfield Town (Local)
Prediction 44.42%2.25fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.82%44.29%44.46%45.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.60%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Reading (Visit)
Prediction 27.68%3.61fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.413%
Kelly -0.575%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.64%27.76%27.70%29.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.313.303.5631.75%30.21%30.30%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.90%3.58fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -0.671%
Kelly -0.939%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.54%27.95%27.83%30.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.323.353.5034.72%30.15%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mansfield Town (Local): 44.42%; Reading (Visit): 27.68%; Draw: 27.90%. For Reading (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.56, with an expected value of -1.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.63%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -3.13%E -0.895%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.63%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -3.13%E -0.895%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.13%EV -5.38%E -2.53%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.00%EV -1.47%E -0.413%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -3.74%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 19:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -12.82%E -4.07%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.13%E -0.895%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 19:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.51%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.51%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.51%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.51%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.60%E -3.65%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.60%E -3.65%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.60%E -3.65%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.82%EV -7.60%E -3.65%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.37%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -7.60%E -3.65%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -7.60%E -3.65%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-10 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 19:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.29%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.06%EV -19.65%E -6.82%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.34% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33% | 0.2% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.34% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33% | 0.2% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.57% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16% | 2.3% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |