Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mansfield Town v Reading

Início: 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mansfield Town (Local)

Previsão 44.42%2.25odd justa
EV -2.27%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -1.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.82%44.29%44.46%45.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.60%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Reading (Visitante)

Previsão 27.68%3.61odd justa
EV -1.47%
Vantagem -0.413%
Kelly -0.575%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.64%27.76%27.70%29.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.313.303.5631.75%30.21%30.30%28.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.90%3.58odd justa
EV -2.35%
Vantagem -0.671%
Kelly -0.939%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.54%27.95%27.83%30.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.323.353.5034.72%30.15%29.85%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Mansfield Town (Local): 44.42%; Reading (Visitante): 27.68%; Empate: 27.90%. Para Reading (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.61. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.56, com valor esperado de -1.47%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 19:20
LeoVegas🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:20
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:20
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.63%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -3.13%E -0.895%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.63%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -3.13%E -0.895%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 19:40
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.13%EV -5.38%E -2.53%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.00%EV -1.47%E -0.413%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -3.74%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 19:30
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:34
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:00
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -12.82%E -4.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-10 19:20
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 19:35
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.13%E -0.895%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 19:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 19:35
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 19:35
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.51%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-10 19:25
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.51%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-10 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.51%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-10 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.51%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-10 19:30
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.60%E -3.65%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:35
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.60%E -3.65%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:25
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.60%E -3.65%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.82%EV -7.60%E -3.65%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.37%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -7.60%E -3.65%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-10 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -7.60%E -3.65%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-10 19:00
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 19:35
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 19:30
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:40
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:40
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:40
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:35
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:35
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:38
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:40
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:40
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-10 19:30
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-10 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.29%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.06%EV -19.65%E -6.82%K -10.45%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-10 19:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.2%2026-03-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.2%2026-03-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-03-10 19:40
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-10 19:40
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%2.3%2026-03-10 19:40