La escuela de los momios

Mansfield Town v Reading

Inicio: 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mansfield Town (Local)

Predicción 44.42%2.25momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.82%44.29%44.46%45.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.60%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Reading (Visitante)

Predicción 27.68%3.61momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.413%
Kelly -0.575%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.64%27.76%27.70%29.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.313.303.5631.75%30.21%30.30%28.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.90%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -0.671%
Kelly -0.939%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.54%27.95%27.83%30.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.323.353.5034.72%30.15%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 19:20
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 19:05
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 19:00
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 19:00
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:20
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:20
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:20
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.63%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -3.13%E -0.895%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 19:40
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.63%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -3.13%E -0.895%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 19:40
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.13%EV -5.38%E -2.53%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.00%EV -1.47%E -0.413%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -3.74%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 19:30
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:34
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:00
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:00
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -12.82%E -4.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-10 19:20
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 19:35
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.13%E -0.895%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 19:34
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:35
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 19:35
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 19:35
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.51%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-10 19:25
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.51%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-10 19:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.51%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-10 19:30
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.51%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-10 19:30
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.60%E -3.65%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:35
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.60%E -3.65%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:25
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.60%E -3.65%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:25
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.82%EV -7.60%E -3.65%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.37%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:40
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -7.60%E -3.65%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-10 19:05
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -7.60%E -3.65%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -11.44%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-10 19:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 19:35
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 19:30
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.90%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:40
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:35
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:40
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:35
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:35
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:38
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:40
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:40
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-10 19:30
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-10 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.29%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.06%EV -19.65%E -6.82%K -10.45%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-10 19:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.2%2026-03-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.2%2026-03-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-03-10 19:40
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-10 19:40
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%2.3%2026-03-10 19:40