Language:English
Mansfield Town v Lincoln City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mansfield Town (Local)
Prediction 27.10%3.69fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.677%
Kelly -0.938%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%27.08%27.06%27.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.413.403.6030.30%29.32%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lincoln City (Visit)
Prediction 46.17%2.17fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.72%46.16%46.20%47.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.66%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.73%3.74fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.299%
Kelly -0.410%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.59%26.75%26.74%28.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.443.453.7033.33%29.05%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mansfield Town (Local): 27.10%; Lincoln City (Visit): 46.17%; Draw: 26.73%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -2.44%E -0.677%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -2.44%E -0.677%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.19%EV -3.25%E -0.911%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.06%EV -6.27%E -3.09%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.75%EV -9.93%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.38%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.43%EV -4.43%E -2.14%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.19%EV -1.91%E -0.520%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.11%E -0.299%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 12:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.11%E -0.299%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 12:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 13:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.04%E -1.45%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.89%E -5.64%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 13:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -6.73%E -3.33%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.99%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.73%E -3.33%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 13:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.73%E -3.33%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.58%E -4.33%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 12:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.58%E -4.33%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 12:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 13:52 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 13:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 12:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 12:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -11.81%E -6.18%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -19.82%E -6.61%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -5.81%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -5.81%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.41% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 1.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |