L’École des cotes

Mansfield Town v Lincoln City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mansfield Town (Local)

Prévision 27.10%3.69cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -0.677%
Kelly -0.938%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.55%27.08%27.06%27.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.413.403.6030.30%29.32%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lincoln City (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.17%2.17cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -2.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.72%46.16%46.20%47.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.66%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.73%3.74cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.299%
Kelly -0.410%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.59%26.75%26.74%28.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.443.453.7033.33%29.05%28.99%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -2.44%E -0.677%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:50
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -2.44%E -0.677%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:50
1xBet3.57I 28.01%NM 26.19%EV -3.25%E -0.911%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.06%EV -6.27%E -3.09%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.75%EV -9.93%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:50
Pinnacle3.51I 28.49%NM 27.38%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.43%EV -4.43%E -2.14%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.19%EV -1.91%E -0.520%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 14:50
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.11%E -0.299%K -0.410%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 12:50
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.11%E -0.299%K -0.410%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 12:50
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 13:20
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.04%E -1.45%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:55
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:25
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:54
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 13:50
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.89%E -5.64%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:45
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 13:20
Marathon Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -6.73%E -3.33%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.99%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.73%E -3.33%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 13:20
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.73%E -3.33%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 13:20
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.58%E -4.33%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 12:50
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.58%E -4.33%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 12:45
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 13:52
BetUS3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 13:50
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:15
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:15
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:15
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:55
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 13:20
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:35
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 12:45
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -11.81%E -6.18%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -19.82%E -6.61%K -9.91%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-21 14:30
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:15
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:15
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:15
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:15
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:15
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:15
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:15
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -5.81%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -5.81%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:15
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 13:25
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:34
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:40
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:30
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:35
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:30
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:30
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 14:15
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 14:15
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 14:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-02-21 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-02-21 14:40