La escuela de los momios

Mansfield Town v Lincoln City

Inicio: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mansfield Town (Local)

Predicción 27.10%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -0.677%
Kelly -0.938%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.55%27.08%27.06%27.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.413.403.6030.30%29.32%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Lincoln City (Visitante)

Predicción 46.17%2.17momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -2.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.72%46.16%46.20%47.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.66%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.73%3.74momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.299%
Kelly -0.410%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.59%26.75%26.74%28.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.443.453.7033.33%29.05%28.99%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -2.44%E -0.677%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:50
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -2.44%E -0.677%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 13:50
1xBet3.57I 28.01%NM 26.19%EV -3.25%E -0.911%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.06%EV -6.27%E -3.09%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.75%EV -9.93%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:50
Pinnacle3.51I 28.49%NM 27.38%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.43%EV -4.43%E -2.14%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.19%EV -1.91%E -0.520%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 14:50
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.11%E -0.299%K -0.410%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 12:50
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.11%E -0.299%K -0.410%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 12:50
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 13:20
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.04%E -1.45%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:55
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:25
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:54
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.78%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 13:50
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.89%E -5.64%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:45
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 13:20
Marathon Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -6.73%E -3.33%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.99%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.73%E -3.33%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 13:20
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.73%E -3.33%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 13:20
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.58%E -4.33%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 12:50
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.58%E -4.33%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 12:45
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 13:52
BetUS3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 13:50
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:15
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:15
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:15
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:55
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 13:20
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:35
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 12:45
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -11.81%E -6.18%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -19.82%E -6.61%K -9.91%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-21 14:30
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:15
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:15
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:15
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:15
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:15
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:15
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:15
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -5.81%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -5.81%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:15
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.80%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 13:25
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:34
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.79%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:40
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:30
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:35
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:30
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:30
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 14:15
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.46%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 14:15
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.45%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 14:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-02-21 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-02-21 14:40