Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mansfield Town v Doncaster Rovers

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Final: Mansfield Town 2–1 Doncaster Rovers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mansfield Town (Local)

Prediction 42.92%2.33fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.25%43.00%42.89%44.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.142.152.2550.51%46.68%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Doncaster Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 29.93%3.34fair odd
EV +0.250%
Edge +0.075%
Kelly +0.106%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.71%29.86%29.97%31.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.133.103.3533.90%31.96%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.15%3.68fair odd
EV +0.455%
Edge +0.123%
Kelly +0.169%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%27.14%27.14%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.403.7031.25%29.28%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mansfield Town (Local): 42.92%; Doncaster Rovers (Visit): 29.93%; Draw: 27.15%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.455%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +0.455%E +0.123%K +0.169%G +0.001%8.0%2026-08-15 13:04
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.85%EV -2.80%E -0.783%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 13:09
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 13:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:04
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:53
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:52
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:50
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:55
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -6.85%E -3.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:04
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:04
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:04
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:55
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:49
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.99%E -2.74%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.33%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 13:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.99%E -2.74%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.33%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 13:35
BetUS🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.99%E -2.74%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.33%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 13:34
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -11.72%E -3.97%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.33%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -11.72%E -3.97%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.33%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:49
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.07%EV -6.85%E -3.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.76%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.17%EV -6.60%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -6.42%E -2.95%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.73%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 12:59
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +0.250%E +0.075%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +0.250%E +0.075%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +0.250%E +0.075%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:55
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +0.250%E +0.075%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +0.250%E +0.075%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:55
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +0.250%E +0.075%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +0.250%E +0.075%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +0.250%E +0.075%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:54
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +0.250%E +0.075%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:54
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -11.72%E -3.97%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:50
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:04
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:04
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:04
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 13:04
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 13:04
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 07:59
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:29
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:29
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:29
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 07:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.10%EV -9.43%E -4.47%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 13:04
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -13.29%E -6.58%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -2.74%E -0.844%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.76%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -13.29%E -6.58%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -11.76%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.50%EV -15.01%E -7.58%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.50%EV -15.01%E -7.58%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 13:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-08-15 13:55
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-08-15 13:55
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.24%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%2.3%2026-08-15 13:55