Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mansfield Town v Doncaster Rovers

Início: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Final: Mansfield Town 2–1 Doncaster Rovers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mansfield Town (Local)

Previsão 42.92%2.33odd justa
EV -3.42%
Vantagem -1.52%
Kelly -2.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.25%43.00%42.89%44.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.982.142.152.2550.51%46.68%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Doncaster Rovers (Visitante)

Previsão 29.93%3.34odd justa
EV +0.250%
Vantagem +0.075%
Kelly +0.106%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.71%29.86%29.97%31.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.133.103.3533.90%31.96%32.26%29.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.15%3.68odd justa
EV +0.455%
Vantagem +0.123%
Kelly +0.169%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.03%27.14%27.14%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.423.403.7031.25%29.28%29.41%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Mansfield Town (Local): 42.92%; Doncaster Rovers (Visitante): 29.93%; Empate: 27.15%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.68. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.455%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +0.455%E +0.123%K +0.169%G +0.001%8.0%2026-08-15 13:04
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.28%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.85%EV -2.80%E -0.783%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 13:09
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 13:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:04
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:53
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:52
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:50
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:55
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -6.85%E -3.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:04
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:04
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:04
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:55
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:49
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.99%E -2.74%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.33%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 13:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.99%E -2.74%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.33%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 13:35
BetUS🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.99%E -2.74%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.33%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 13:34
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -11.72%E -3.97%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.33%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -11.72%E -3.97%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.33%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:49
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.07%EV -6.85%E -3.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.76%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.17%EV -6.60%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -6.42%E -2.95%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.73%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 12:59
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +0.250%E +0.075%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +0.250%E +0.075%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +0.250%E +0.075%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:55
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +0.250%E +0.075%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +0.250%E +0.075%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:55
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +0.250%E +0.075%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +0.250%E +0.075%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +0.250%E +0.075%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:54
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -10.72%E -5.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV +0.250%E +0.075%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:54
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -11.72%E -3.97%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:50
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.57%E -2.53%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:04
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:04
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 13:04
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 13:04
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 13:04
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.22%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.69%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 07:59
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:29
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:29
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.71%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:29
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.86%E -4.69%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 07:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.10%EV -9.43%E -4.47%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 13:04
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -13.29%E -6.58%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -2.74%E -0.844%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.76%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -13.29%E -6.58%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -11.76%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.50%EV -15.01%E -7.58%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.50%EV -15.01%E -7.58%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -13.12%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 13:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-08-15 13:55
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-08-15 13:55
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.24%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%2.3%2026-08-15 13:55