La escuela de los momios

Mansfield Town v Doncaster Rovers

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 1

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mansfield Town (Local)

Predicción 41.71%2.40momio equitativo
EV -4.07%
Ventaja -1.77%
Kelly -3.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.89%41.62%41.64%42.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.192.202.3047.62%45.67%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Doncaster Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 30.62%3.27momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -0.634%
Kelly -0.923%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.95%30.62%30.65%32.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.993.003.2035.71%33.45%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.67%3.61momio equitativo
EV -4.52%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.90%27.76%27.71%28.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.303.303.4531.25%30.27%30.30%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 12:29
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 12:30
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -4.90%E -2.15%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -10.06%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 19:34
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -4.90%E -2.15%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -10.06%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 19:34
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.40%EV -5.74%E -2.54%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.58%EV -6.32%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.02%EV -7.57%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 19:44
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 19:44
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.29%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 19:44
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -14.28%E -5.10%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.44%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:39
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -14.28%E -5.10%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.44%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -14.28%E -5.10%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.44%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -14.28%E -5.10%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.44%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 14:19
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -6.57%E -2.93%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -6.32%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -7.57%E -2.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 22:49
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 12:29
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -2.03%E -0.634%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -11.44%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 12:55
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-09 07:34
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-13 16:04
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 00:10
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-07 12:29
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 16:33
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 19:40
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.06%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-13 14:55
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.06%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-13 14:53
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.24%E -3.74%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.44%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-17 19:34
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-30 09:20
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-07 12:28
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-22 16:59
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -11.83%E -4.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.06%E -3.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-07 12:30
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:49
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 10:20
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.58%E -5.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.67%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 10:39
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -14.28%E -5.10%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.44%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.6%2026-06-30 05:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 40.84%2.84I 35.21%NM 31.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%12.3%2026-07-08 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 42.92%2.20I 45.45%NM 33.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 23.92%37.1%2026-07-22 19:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 42.92%2.20I 45.45%NM 33.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 23.92%37.1%2026-07-22 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 42.75%2.20I 45.45%NM 33.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 24.22%37.6%2026-07-23 07:20