Language:English
Mansfield Town v Burton Albion
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mansfield Town (Local)
Prediction 42.81%2.34fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.67%43.41%42.79%51.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.782.122.152.2456.18%47.14%46.51%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burton Albion (Visit)
Prediction 29.77%3.36fair odd
EV +23.56%
Edge +5.68%
Kelly +7.48%
Growth +1.76%
assuming max odds 4.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%29.21%29.75%31.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.243.164.1533.33%30.83%31.70%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.42%3.65fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.359%
Kelly -0.497%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.98%27.38%27.47%29.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.383.363.6033.33%29.58%29.76%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mansfield Town (Local): 42.81%; Burton Albion (Visit): 29.77%; Draw: 27.42%. For Burton Albion (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +23.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.80%EV -23.80%E -13.37%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV +23.56%E +5.68%K +7.48%G +1.76% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -2.66%E -0.750%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.80%EV -23.80%E -13.37%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV +23.56%E +5.68%K +7.48%G +1.76% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -2.66%E -0.750%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -10.96%E -5.27%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV +2.72%E +0.788%K +1.11%G +0.030% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.28%EV -7.11%E -3.27%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.96%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.73%EV -0.260%E -0.078%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.96%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.73%EV -0.260%E -0.078%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -14.38%E -7.19%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -0.260%E -0.078%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -13.53%E -6.70%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -0.260%E -0.078%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -13.53%E -6.70%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -0.260%E -0.078%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.24%E -0.996%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.24%E -0.996%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.29%E -0.359%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.77%EV -6.25%E -2.85%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.36%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.87%EV -7.87%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.76%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -5.92%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -7.87%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -7.11%E -3.27%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -10.53%E -5.04%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.19%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.19%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.19%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.19%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -17.74%E -5.91%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52% | 0.9% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.20% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20% | 2.1% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |