La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Mansfield Town v Burton Albion
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mansfield Town (Local)
Predicción 42.81%2.34momio equitativo
EV -4.11%
Ventaja -1.83%
Kelly -3.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.67%43.41%42.79%51.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.782.122.152.2456.18%47.14%46.51%44.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Burton Albion (Visitante)
Predicción 29.77%3.36momio equitativo
EV +23.56%
Ventaja +5.68%
Kelly +7.48%
Crecimiento +1.76%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.22%29.21%29.75%31.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.243.164.1533.33%30.83%31.70%24.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.42%3.65momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.359%
Kelly -0.497%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.98%27.38%27.47%29.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.363.6033.33%29.58%29.76%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.80%EV -23.80%E -13.37%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV +23.56%E +5.68%K +7.48%G +1.76% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -2.66%E -0.750%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.80%EV -23.80%E -13.37%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV +23.56%E +5.68%K +7.48%G +1.76% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -2.66%E -0.750%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -10.96%E -5.27%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV +2.72%E +0.788%K +1.11%G +0.030% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.28%EV -7.11%E -3.27%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Unibet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Casumo | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.96%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.73%EV -0.260%E -0.078%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.96%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.73%EV -0.260%E -0.078%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -14.38%E -7.19%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -0.260%E -0.078%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -13.53%E -6.70%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -0.260%E -0.078%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -13.53%E -6.70%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -0.260%E -0.078%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.24%E -0.996%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.24%E -0.996%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.29%E -0.359%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.77%EV -6.25%E -2.85%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.36%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.87%EV -7.87%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.76%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -5.92%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -7.87%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -7.11%E -3.27%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -10.53%E -5.04%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.19%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.19%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.19%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.19%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -17.74%E -5.91%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52% | 0.9% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.20% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20% | 2.1% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |