A Escola das Odds

Mansfield Town v Burton Albion

Início: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Mansfield Town (Local)

Previsão 42.81%2.34odd justa
EV -4.11%
Vantagem -1.83%
Kelly -3.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.67%43.41%42.79%51.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.782.122.152.2456.18%47.14%46.51%44.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Burton Albion (Visitante)

Previsão 29.77%3.36odd justa
EV +23.56%
Vantagem +5.68%
Kelly +7.48%
Crescimento +1.76%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.22%29.21%29.75%31.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.243.164.1533.33%30.83%31.70%24.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.42%3.65odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.359%
Kelly -0.497%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.98%27.38%27.47%29.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.383.363.6033.33%29.58%29.76%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.80%EV -23.80%E -13.37%K -30.51%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV +23.56%E +5.68%K +7.48%G +1.76%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -2.66%E -0.750%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 13:45
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 51.80%EV -23.80%E -13.37%K -30.51%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV +23.56%E +5.68%K +7.48%G +1.76%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -2.66%E -0.750%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 13:44
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -10.96%E -5.27%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV +2.72%E +0.788%K +1.11%G +0.030%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.28%EV -7.11%E -3.27%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 13:45
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:15
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:15
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:15
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:15
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 44.91%EV -11.39%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:35
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV +1.23%E +0.361%K +0.512%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:35
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.96%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.73%EV -0.260%E -0.078%K -0.111%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:44
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.96%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.73%EV -0.260%E -0.078%K -0.111%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:44
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -14.38%E -7.19%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -0.260%E -0.078%K -0.111%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 10:25
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -13.53%E -6.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -0.260%E -0.078%K -0.111%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 13:35
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -13.53%E -6.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -0.260%E -0.078%K -0.111%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 13:35
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.24%E -0.996%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:44
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.24%E -0.996%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:45
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:44
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.73%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.29%E -0.359%K -0.497%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:44
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.77%EV -6.25%E -2.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.36%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.87%EV -7.87%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:44
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.76%EV -6.68%E -3.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -5.92%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -7.87%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:44
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:35
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:35
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 13:44
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 13:44
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 13:45
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:45
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -7.11%E -3.27%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:44
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:45
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:44
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:44
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:44
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:44
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -10.53%E -5.04%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.70%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -8.15%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.19%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:44
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.19%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:44
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.19%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.78%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:44
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.19%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.89%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 13:45
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.04%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:45
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:44
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.52%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.68%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -17.74%E -5.91%K -8.87%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-06 13:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%0.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-06 13:45
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20%2.1%2026-04-06 13:45