Language:English
Luton v Stockport County FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Luton (Local)
Prediction 36.40%2.75fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.22%36.52%36.38%38.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.532.502.6742.02%39.54%40.00%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stockport County FC (Visit)
Prediction 36.00%2.78fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.365%
Kelly -0.574%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%35.89%35.95%37.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.562.552.7541.67%39.02%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.60%3.62fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -0.971%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.69%27.59%27.68%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.353.5033.33%30.07%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Luton (Local): 36.40%; Stockport County FC (Visit): 36.00%; Draw: 27.60%. For Stockport County FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -1.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.07%EV -2.81%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.00%EV -5.05%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.22%EV -3.54%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.55%EV -2.80%E -1.04%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.23%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.22%EV -3.54%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.55%EV -2.80%E -1.04%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.23%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -3.54%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -3.54%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -4.63%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -4.63%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 11:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 11:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 11:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -6.09%E -2.36%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 10:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -6.09%E -2.36%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.60%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 10:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 10:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 11:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 12:22 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 12:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 05:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 10:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 10:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 10:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 10:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 11:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.62%EV -9.36%E -3.76%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 10:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.72%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.77%EV -3.16%E -1.18%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -10.82%E -4.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -12.64%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -13.60%E -5.67%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.20%E -5.73%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-21 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -13.37%E -5.62%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.00%E -0.365%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 11:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.83% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.83% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.83% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.83% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |