L’École des cotes

Luton v Stockport County FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Luton (Local)

Prévision 36.40%2.75cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.22%36.52%36.38%38.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.532.502.6742.02%39.54%40.00%37.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Stockport County FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.00%2.78cote équitable
EV -1.00%
Avantage -0.365%
Kelly -0.574%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.73%35.89%35.95%37.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.562.552.7541.67%39.02%39.22%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.60%3.62cote équitable
EV -3.40%
Avantage -0.971%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.69%27.59%27.68%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.333.353.5033.33%30.07%29.85%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.07%EV -2.81%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.00%EV -5.05%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 11:00
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.22%EV -3.54%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.55%EV -2.80%E -1.04%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.23%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 11:30
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.22%EV -3.54%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.55%EV -2.80%E -1.04%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.23%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -3.54%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 11:40
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -3.54%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 11:40
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -4.63%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -4.63%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 11:40
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 12:19
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 11:35
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 11:20
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 11:20
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 12:25
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 11:39
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -6.09%E -2.36%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 10:29
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -6.09%E -2.36%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 10:30
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.60%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 10:45
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:20
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 11:20
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 10:30
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 11:20
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 11:20
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 12:19
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 12:19
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 11:49
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 12:22
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 12:24
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 05:35
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 11:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 11:40
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 10:30
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 10:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 10:30
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 10:29
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 11:00
Codere (IT)2.49I 40.16%NM 36.62%EV -9.36%E -3.76%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 10:45
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.72%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.77%EV -3.16%E -1.18%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 12:25
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:20
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:20
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:19
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:20
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:20
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:19
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:19
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:19
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:20
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:20
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:20
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:20
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -10.82%E -4.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -12.64%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -13.60%E -5.67%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.20%E -5.73%K -8.60%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-21 11:50
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -13.37%E -5.62%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.00%E -0.365%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 11:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-03-21 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-03-21 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-03-21 12:20
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-03-21 12:20
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-03-21 12:25