La escuela de los momios

Luton v Stockport County FC

Inicio: 2026-03-21 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Luton (Local)

Predicción 36.40%2.75momio equitativo
EV -2.81%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.22%36.52%36.38%38.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.532.502.6742.02%39.54%40.00%37.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Stockport County FC (Visitante)

Predicción 36.00%2.78momio equitativo
EV -1.00%
Ventaja -0.365%
Kelly -0.574%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.73%35.89%35.95%37.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.562.552.7541.67%39.02%39.22%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.60%3.62momio equitativo
EV -3.40%
Ventaja -0.971%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.69%27.59%27.68%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.333.353.5033.33%30.07%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.07%EV -2.81%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.93%EV -3.52%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.00%EV -5.05%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 11:00
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.22%EV -3.54%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.55%EV -2.80%E -1.04%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.23%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 11:30
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.22%EV -3.54%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.55%EV -2.80%E -1.04%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.23%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -3.54%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 11:40
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -3.54%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 11:40
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -4.63%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -4.63%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 11:40
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 12:19
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 11:35
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 11:20
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 11:20
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 12:25
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 11:39
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -6.09%E -2.36%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 10:29
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -6.09%E -2.36%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 10:30
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.60%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 10:45
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:20
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 11:20
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 10:30
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 11:20
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.18%E -2.81%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 11:20
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.40%E -0.971%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 12:19
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 12:19
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 11:49
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 12:22
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 12:24
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 05:35
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 11:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 11:40
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 10:30
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 10:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 10:30
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -5.68%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 10:29
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 11:00
Codere (IT)2.49I 40.16%NM 36.62%EV -9.36%E -3.76%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.20%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 10:45
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.72%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.77%EV -3.16%E -1.18%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 12:25
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:20
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:20
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:19
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:20
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:20
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:19
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:19
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:19
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:20
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:20
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:20
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.00%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 12:20
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -10.82%E -4.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.40%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -12.64%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -13.60%E -5.67%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.20%E -5.73%K -8.60%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-21 11:50
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -13.37%E -5.62%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.00%E -0.365%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 11:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-03-21 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-03-21 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-03-21 12:20
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-03-21 12:20
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-03-21 12:25