Language:English
Luton v Peterborough United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Luton (Local)
Prediction 61.13%1.64fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -7.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.91%61.03%61.21%62.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.531.5769.44%65.26%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Peterborough United (Visit)
Prediction 17.42%5.74fair odd
EV +0.148%
Edge +0.026%
Kelly +0.031%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.31%17.45%17.38%18.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.225.205.7520.41%19.16%19.23%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.46%4.66fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -0.922%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.41%21.53%21.41%22.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.274.254.5126.67%23.44%23.53%22.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Luton (Local): 61.13%; Peterborough United (Visit): 17.42%; Draw: 21.46%. For Peterborough United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.148%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +0.148%E +0.026%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 13:48 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.37%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.72I 17.48%NM 16.31%EV -0.374%E -0.065%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.32%EV -10.32%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.86%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.88%EV -1.07%E -0.189%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.26%EV -3.24%E -0.718%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -7.70%E -5.10%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV -3.34%E -0.601%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -6.67%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.19%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.47%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.19%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.47%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.60%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.60%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.10%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.10%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.95%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.95%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.99%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.60%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.60%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 13:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.03%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.24%EV -8.92%E -5.99%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.18%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.18%E -3.54%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.18%E -3.54%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.18%E -3.54%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.18%E -3.54%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.98%E -8.32%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -19.54%E -5.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.33%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -14.66%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -12.03%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.33%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -14.66%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -12.03%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.79% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.71% | 2.7% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |