La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Luton v Peterborough United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Luton (Local)
Predicción 61.13%1.64momio equitativo
EV -4.03%
Ventaja -2.57%
Kelly -7.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.91%61.03%61.21%62.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.531.531.5769.44%65.26%65.36%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Peterborough United (Visitante)
Predicción 17.42%5.74momio equitativo
EV +0.148%
Ventaja +0.026%
Kelly +0.031%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.31%17.45%17.38%18.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.225.205.7520.41%19.16%19.23%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.46%4.66momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -0.718%
Kelly -0.922%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.41%21.53%21.41%22.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.274.254.5126.67%23.44%23.53%22.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +0.148%E +0.026%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 13:48 |
| 1xBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.37%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.72I 17.48%NM 16.31%EV -0.374%E -0.065%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.32%EV -10.32%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.86%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.88%EV -1.07%E -0.189%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.26%EV -3.24%E -0.718%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -7.70%E -5.10%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV -3.34%E -0.601%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -6.67%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.19%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.47%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.19%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.47%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.60%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.60%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.10%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.10%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.95%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.95%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.99%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.60%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.60%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 13:15 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.03%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Bovada | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| BetUS | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.24%EV -8.92%E -5.99%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.18%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| William Hill | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.18%E -3.54%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.18%E -3.54%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.18%E -3.54%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.18%E -3.54%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.98%E -8.32%K -27.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -19.54%E -5.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.33%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -14.66%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -12.03%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.33%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -14.66%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -12.03%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.79% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.71% | 2.7% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |