L’École des cotes

Luton v Peterborough United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Luton (Local)

Prévision 61.13%1.64cote équitable
EV -4.03%
Avantage -2.57%
Kelly -7.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.91%61.03%61.21%62.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.531.531.5769.44%65.26%65.36%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Peterborough United (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.42%5.74cote équitable
EV +0.148%
Avantage +0.026%
Kelly +0.031%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.31%17.45%17.38%18.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.225.205.7520.41%19.16%19.23%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.46%4.66cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -0.718%
Kelly -0.922%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.41%21.53%21.41%22.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.274.254.5126.67%23.44%23.53%22.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV +0.148%E +0.026%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 13:48
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.37%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.31%EV -0.374%E -0.065%K -0.079%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.32%EV -10.32%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:49
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 61.86%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.88%EV -1.07%E -0.189%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.26%EV -3.24%E -0.718%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 13:55
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -7.70%E -5.10%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV -3.34%E -0.601%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -6.67%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:49
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.19%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.47%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 13:35
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.19%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.47%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 13:35
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 13:54
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 13:50
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.60%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:49
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.60%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:49
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.10%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.10%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:40
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.21%E -0.765%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 13:50
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.95%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:35
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.95%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:35
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -7.69%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:40
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 60.99%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.60%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 13:55
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -5.86%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.60%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:49
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:44
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 13:35
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:50
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:15
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -8.56%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.03%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:50
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:50
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:49
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.24%EV -8.92%E -5.99%K -18.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -9.43%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:55
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:49
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:50
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -11.17%E -2.19%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.74%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:50
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 13:50
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 13:49
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 13:50
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 13:49
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 13:50
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 13:50
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -4.64%E -2.97%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 13:50
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:50
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -3.45%E -0.767%K -0.986%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:40
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:35
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 60.18%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -8.81%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:35
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.25%E -3.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.18%E -3.54%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:34
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.18%E -3.54%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 13:35
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.18%E -3.54%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 13:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.18%E -3.54%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 13:35
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.89%E -2.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-03 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -11.98%E -8.32%K -27.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -12.91%E -2.58%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -19.54%E -5.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.33%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -14.66%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -12.03%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.33%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -14.66%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -12.03%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%1.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%1.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%1.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%1.2%2026-04-03 13:50
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.79%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.50%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.71%2.7%2026-04-03 13:55