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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Luton v Doncaster Rovers

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — League 1

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Luton (主队)

预测 51.07%1.96公平赔率
EV -5.53%
优势 -2.99%
Kelly -6.50%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
50.25%51.11%51.08%53.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.711.791.801.8558.48%55.78%55.56%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Doncaster Rovers (客队)

预测 24.37%4.10公平赔率
EV -0.075%
优势 -0.018%
Kelly -0.024%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.10

博彩公司预测分布
22.84%24.26%24.36%25.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.873.804.1028.57%25.84%26.32%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.56%4.07公平赔率
EV -1.75%
优势 -0.438%
Kelly -0.584%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.52%24.62%24.55%25.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.783.774.0027.78%26.47%26.49%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Luton (主队)：51.07%；Doncaster Rovers (客队)：24.37%；平局：24.56%。 对于“Doncaster Rovers (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.103。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为4.100，期望值为-0.075%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-26 15:35
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-26 19:54
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.77%EV -6.04%E -3.28%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.65%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.61%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.75%E -0.438%K -0.584%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 15:35
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -8.61%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -5.44%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-26 15:34
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.17%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-26 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.61%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-26 19:55
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 15:25
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 15:20
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 15:20
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.88%EV -7.06%E -3.88%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -2.98%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -7.06%E -3.88%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-26 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -7.57%E -4.18%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -9.82%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-26 17:35
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -5.44%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-26 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.82%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-26 19:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -8.59%E -4.80%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -9.82%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -10.35%E -2.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-26 16:34
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -10.63%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.70%E -4.20%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-26 19:45
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.62%EV -12.17%E -7.07%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -3.73%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.12%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.62%EV -12.17%E -7.07%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -3.73%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.12%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.62%EV -12.17%E -7.07%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -3.73%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.12%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.77%EV -12.68%E -7.41%K -17.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -3.73%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -9.12%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-26 14:10
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.77%EV -12.68%E -7.41%K -17.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -3.73%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -9.12%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-26 14:10
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 49.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%16.5%2026-09-26 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-09-26 19:15