StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Luton v Doncaster Rovers

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — League 1

Matchresultat

32 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Luton (Hemma)

Prognos 51.07%1.96rättvist odds
EV -5.53%
Fördel -2.99%
Kelly -6.50%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.25%51.11%51.08%53.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.711.791.801.8558.48%55.78%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Doncaster Rovers (Borta)

Prognos 24.37%4.10rättvist odds
EV -0.075%
Fördel -0.018%
Kelly -0.024%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.84%24.26%24.36%25.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.873.804.1028.57%25.84%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.56%4.07rättvist odds
EV -1.75%
Fördel -0.438%
Kelly -0.584%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.52%24.62%24.55%25.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.783.774.0027.78%26.47%26.49%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Luton (Hemma): 51.07%; Doncaster Rovers (Borta): 24.37%; Oavgjort: 24.56%. För Doncaster Rovers (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.103. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.100, med väntevärdet -0.075%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (32 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-26 15:35
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-26 19:54
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.77%EV -6.04%E -3.28%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.65%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.61%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.75%E -0.438%K -0.584%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 15:35
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -8.61%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -5.44%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-26 15:34
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.17%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-26 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.61%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-26 19:55
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 15:25
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 15:20
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 15:20
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.88%EV -7.06%E -3.88%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -2.98%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -7.06%E -3.88%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-26 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -7.57%E -4.18%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -9.82%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-26 17:35
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -5.44%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-26 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.82%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-26 19:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -8.59%E -4.80%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -9.82%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -10.35%E -2.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-26 16:34
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -10.63%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.70%E -4.20%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-26 19:45
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.62%EV -12.17%E -7.07%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -3.73%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.12%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.62%EV -12.17%E -7.07%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -3.73%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.12%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.62%EV -12.17%E -7.07%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -3.73%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.12%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.77%EV -12.68%E -7.41%K -17.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -3.73%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -9.12%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-26 14:10
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.77%EV -12.68%E -7.41%K -17.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -3.73%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -9.12%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-26 14:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 49.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%16.5%2026-09-26 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-09-26 19:15