Idioma:Español
Luton v Doncaster Rovers
Resultado del partido
Luton (Local)
Predicción 51.07%1.96momio equitativo
EV -5.53%
Ventaja -2.99%
Kelly -6.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.25%51.11%51.08%53.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.711.791.801.8558.48%55.78%55.56%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Doncaster Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 24.37%4.10momio equitativo
EV -0.075%
Ventaja -0.018%
Kelly -0.024%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.84%24.26%24.36%25.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.873.804.1028.57%25.84%26.32%24.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.56%4.07momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.438%
Kelly -0.584%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.52%24.62%24.55%25.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.783.774.0027.78%26.47%26.49%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Luton (Local): 51.07%; Doncaster Rovers (Visitante): 24.37%; Empate: 24.56%. Para Doncaster Rovers (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.103. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 4.100, con un valor esperado de -0.075%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (32 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 15:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -5.53%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 19:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.77%EV -6.04%E -3.28%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.65%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.61%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.75%E -0.438%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 15:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -8.61%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -5.44%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-26 15:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.17%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-26 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.61%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-26 19:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 15:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.55%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 15:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.88%EV -7.06%E -3.88%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -2.98%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-26 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -7.06%E -3.88%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 16:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -7.57%E -4.18%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -9.82%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-26 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -5.44%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.89%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.82%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.66%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-26 19:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -8.59%E -4.80%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -9.82%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -10.35%E -2.84%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 16:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -0.075%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.21%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 14:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -10.63%E -6.08%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.70%E -4.20%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -11.58%E -3.22%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-26 19:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.62%EV -12.17%E -7.07%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -3.73%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.12%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-26 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.62%EV -12.17%E -7.07%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -3.73%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.12%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-26 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.62%EV -12.17%E -7.07%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -3.73%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.12%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-26 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.77%EV -12.68%E -7.41%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -3.73%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -9.12%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-26 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.77%EV -12.68%E -7.41%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -3.73%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -9.12%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-26 14:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 49.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24% | 16.5% | 2026-09-26 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-09-26 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-09-26 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33% | 183.0% | 2026-09-26 19:15 |