La scuola delle quote

Luton v Burton Albion

Inizio: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Luton (Casa)

Previsione 52.92%1.89quota equa
EV -3.68%
Vantaggio -2.02%
Kelly -4.49%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.14%52.88%52.84%54.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.741.751.8259.88%57.34%57.31%54.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Burton Albion (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.44%4.66quota equa
EV -1.38%
Vantaggio -0.299%
Kelly -0.382%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.38%21.51%21.52%22.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.354.404.6025.00%22.96%22.73%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.64%3.90quota equa
EV -2.57%
Vantaggio -0.676%
Kelly -0.918%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.40%25.62%25.64%27.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.613.603.8031.25%27.67%27.78%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:35
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 52.95%EV -4.21%E -2.33%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.83%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:50
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 14:35
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:40
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:35
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:35
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 14:35
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -7.17%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 14:35
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 14:44
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 14:40
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:40
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -11.54%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 14:35
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:45
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:45
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-20 17:19
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-20 17:21
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-20 17:20
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -1.38%E -0.299%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:54
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.40%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.72%EV -3.31%E -0.733%K -0.942%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -7.44%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:50
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -7.17%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:45
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.54%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:40
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 14:45
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 14:45
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 14:45
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -7.92%E -4.55%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.10%EV -4.62%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.92%E -4.55%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:50
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -7.92%E -4.55%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:39
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:40
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 17:19
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 17:20
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 17:20
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 17:19
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 17:21
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -8.98%E -5.22%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 14:40
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.98%E -5.22%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -4.59%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:45
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.98%E -5.22%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -4.59%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:45
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.98%E -5.22%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.74%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.98%E -5.22%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-20 17:20
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.98%E -5.22%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-20 17:21
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -9.51%E -5.56%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 14:40
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:35
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:44
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -7.17%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -6.74%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-20 17:20
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -6.74%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-20 17:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -11.62%E -6.96%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -17.95%E -5.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-21 14:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.10%0.9%2026-02-21 14:50
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.10%0.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 54.55%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-02-21 14:55