La escuela de los momios

Luton v Burton Albion

Inicio: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Luton (Local)

Predicción 52.92%1.89momio equitativo
EV -3.68%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -4.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.14%52.88%52.84%54.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.741.751.8259.88%57.34%57.31%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Burton Albion (Visitante)

Predicción 21.44%4.66momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.299%
Kelly -0.382%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.38%21.51%21.52%22.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.354.404.6025.00%22.96%22.73%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.64%3.90momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -0.676%
Kelly -0.918%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.40%25.62%25.64%27.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.613.603.8031.25%27.67%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:35
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 52.95%EV -4.21%E -2.33%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.83%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:50
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 14:35
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:40
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:35
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:35
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 14:35
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -7.17%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 14:35
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 14:44
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 14:40
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:40
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -11.54%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 14:35
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:45
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:45
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-20 17:19
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-20 17:21
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-20 17:20
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -1.38%E -0.299%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:54
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.40%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.72%EV -3.31%E -0.733%K -0.942%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -7.44%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:50
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -7.17%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:45
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.54%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:40
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 14:45
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 14:45
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 14:45
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -7.92%E -4.55%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.10%EV -4.62%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.92%E -4.55%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:50
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -7.92%E -4.55%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:39
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:40
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 17:19
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 17:20
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 17:20
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 17:19
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 17:21
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -8.98%E -5.22%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 14:40
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.98%E -5.22%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -4.59%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:45
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.98%E -5.22%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -4.59%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:45
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.98%E -5.22%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.74%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.98%E -5.22%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-20 17:20
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.98%E -5.22%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-20 17:21
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -9.51%E -5.56%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 14:40
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:35
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:44
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -7.17%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -6.74%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-20 17:20
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -6.74%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-20 17:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -11.62%E -6.96%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -17.95%E -5.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-21 14:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.10%0.9%2026-02-21 14:50
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.10%0.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 54.55%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-02-21 14:55