L’École des cotesFrançais
Luton v Burton Albion
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Luton (Local)
Prévision 52.92%1.89cote équitable
EV -3.68%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -4.49%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.14%52.88%52.84%54.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.741.751.8259.88%57.34%57.31%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Burton Albion (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.44%4.66cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.299%
Kelly -0.382%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.38%21.51%21.52%22.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.354.404.6025.00%22.96%22.73%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.64%3.90cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -0.676%
Kelly -0.918%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.40%25.62%25.64%27.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.613.603.8031.25%27.67%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -3.68%E -2.02%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.95%EV -4.21%E -2.33%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.83%EV -5.88%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.74%E -2.63%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Neds | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.80%E -3.26%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -7.17%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 14:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -6.33%E -3.58%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -11.54%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.67%EV -6.86%E -3.90%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-20 17:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-20 17:21 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-20 17:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -1.38%E -0.299%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.40%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.72%EV -3.31%E -0.733%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -7.44%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -7.17%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.54%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.39%E -4.22%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -7.92%E -4.55%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.10%EV -4.62%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.92%E -4.55%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -7.92%E -4.55%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -2.57%E -0.676%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 17:19 |
| Casumo | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 17:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 17:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 17:19 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -8.45%E -4.88%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 17:21 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -8.98%E -5.22%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.98%E -5.22%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -4.59%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.98%E -5.22%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -4.59%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.98%E -5.22%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.74%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.98%E -5.22%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-20 17:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.98%E -5.22%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-20 17:21 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -9.51%E -5.56%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.52%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:44 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -7.17%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -6.74%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-20 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -6.74%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-20 17:20 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -11.62%E -6.96%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -17.95%E -5.61%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.08% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.10% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.08% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.10% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.55% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.23% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22% | 3.0% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |