L’École des cotesLuton v Barnsley
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Luton (Local)
Prévision 66.80%1.50cote équitable
EV -3.81%
Avantage -2.64%
Kelly -8.65%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.59%66.77%66.87%68.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.391.401.4475.19%71.89%71.43%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Barnsley (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.73%7.28cote équitable
EV +2.71%
Avantage +0.362%
Kelly +0.418%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 7.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.59%13.76%13.69%16.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.806.656.507.4817.24%15.03%15.38%13.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 19.47%5.14cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.372%
Kelly -0.465%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.55%19.47%19.44%20.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.724.705.0423.81%21.19%21.28%19.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.73%EV -8.48%E -6.19%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 7.48I 13.37%NM 12.59%EV +2.71%E +0.362%K +0.418%G +0.011% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.68%EV -1.88%E -0.372%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -9.82%E -7.27%K -28.06%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -1.14%E -0.158%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.66%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.47%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 16:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 16:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 16:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -2.66%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -2.66%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:13 |
| Bet Right | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 16:24 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 16:29 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.47%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.58%EV -5.26%E -0.762%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 20:50 |
| Betsson | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.47%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.58%EV -5.26%E -0.762%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.07%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -6.63%E -0.975%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.22%EV -5.58%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.79I 14.73%NM 13.79%EV -6.77%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.31%EV -5.58%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -7.32%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -7.32%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -7.32%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -7.32%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.71%EV -8.48%E -6.19%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.85%EV -9.38%E -1.42%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.44%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.71%EV -8.48%E -6.19%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.85%EV -9.38%E -1.42%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.44%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 11:15 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -3.81%E -2.64%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.66%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -2.66%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 02:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 20:50 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 11:54 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 15:38 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 09:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 09:30 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.16%E -8.39%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.73%EV -11.16%E -8.39%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -18.23%E -4.34%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -12.12%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.50%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -14.18%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 02:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -3.81%E -2.64%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.66%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:14 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -3.81%E -2.64%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -20.36%E -3.51%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -3.81%E -2.64%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -20.36%E -3.51%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.74% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.42% | 2.4% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.50% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.14% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.35% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.50% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.14% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.35% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.50% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.14% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.35% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.26% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.10% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |