مدرسة الاحتمالات

Luton v Barnsley

البداية: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Luton (المضيف)

التنبؤ 66.80%1.50السعر العادل
EV -3.81%
الأفضلية -2.64%
Kelly -8.65%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.59%66.77%66.87%68.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.331.391.401.4475.19%71.89%71.43%69.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Barnsley (الضيف)

التنبؤ 13.73%7.28السعر العادل
EV +2.71%
الأفضلية +0.362%
Kelly +0.418%
النمو +0.011%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.59%13.76%13.69%16.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.806.656.507.4817.24%15.03%15.38%13.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 19.47%5.14السعر العادل
EV -1.88%
الأفضلية -0.372%
Kelly -0.465%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.04

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.55%19.47%19.44%20.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.724.705.0423.81%21.19%21.28%19.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 68.73%EV -8.48%E -6.19%K -22.93%G +0.000%7.48I 13.37%NM 12.59%EV +2.71%E +0.362%K +0.418%G +0.011%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.68%EV -1.88%E -0.372%K -0.465%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 13:14
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -9.82%E -7.27%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -1.14%E -0.158%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 22:59
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.66%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 20:35
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.47%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:10
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 16:29
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 16:25
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:29
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -2.66%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:14
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -2.66%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:13
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 16:24
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:29
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 13:10
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 13:14
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 13:09
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 13:10
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.47%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.58%EV -5.26%E -0.762%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 20:50
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.47%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.58%EV -5.26%E -0.762%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 20:50
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.07%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -6.63%E -0.975%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.22%EV -5.58%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:34
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.79I 14.73%NM 13.79%EV -6.77%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.31%EV -5.58%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:39
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -7.32%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:24
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -7.32%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:24
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -7.32%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:24
PointsBet (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -7.32%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 16:25
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 66.71%EV -8.48%E -6.19%K -22.93%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.85%EV -9.38%E -1.42%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.44%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 11:14
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 66.71%EV -8.48%E -6.19%K -22.93%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.85%EV -9.38%E -1.42%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.44%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 11:15
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -3.81%E -2.64%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.66%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:15
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -2.66%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 02:09
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:24
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:24
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:24
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:25
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:24
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:24
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 20:24
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 20:24
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 20:50
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 11:54
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 15:38
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 15:40
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 20:24
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 20:25
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 20:14
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 09:54
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 09:30
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.16%E -8.39%K -33.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 13:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.73%EV -11.16%E -8.39%K -33.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -18.23%E -4.34%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 20:14
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -12.12%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-24 02:10
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.50%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -14.18%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 02:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -3.81%E -2.64%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.66%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 02:14
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 02:40
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -3.81%E -2.64%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -20.36%E -3.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 02:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -3.81%E -2.64%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -20.36%E -3.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 02:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 68.74%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.42%2.4%2026-04-24 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.50%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.14%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.35%2.8%2026-04-24 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.50%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.14%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.35%2.8%2026-04-24 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.50%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.14%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.35%2.8%2026-04-24 02:05
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.26%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.10%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%3.2%2026-04-24 00:34