La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Luton v Barnsley
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Luton (Local)
Predicción 66.80%1.50momio equitativo
EV -3.81%
Ventaja -2.64%
Kelly -8.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.59%66.77%66.87%68.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.391.401.4475.19%71.89%71.43%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Barnsley (Visitante)
Predicción 13.73%7.28momio equitativo
EV +2.71%
Ventaja +0.362%
Kelly +0.418%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.59%13.76%13.69%16.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.806.656.507.4817.24%15.03%15.38%13.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.47%5.14momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -0.372%
Kelly -0.465%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.55%19.47%19.44%20.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.724.705.0423.81%21.19%21.28%19.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.73%EV -8.48%E -6.19%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 7.48I 13.37%NM 12.59%EV +2.71%E +0.362%K +0.418%G +0.011% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.68%EV -1.88%E -0.372%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -9.82%E -7.27%K -28.06%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -1.14%E -0.158%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.66%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.47%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 16:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 16:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 16:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -2.66%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -2.66%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:13 |
| Bet Right | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 16:24 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 16:29 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 13:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.89%E -0.555%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.47%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.58%EV -5.26%E -0.762%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 20:50 |
| Betsson | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.47%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.58%EV -5.26%E -0.762%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.07%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -6.63%E -0.975%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.22%EV -5.58%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.79I 14.73%NM 13.79%EV -6.77%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.31%EV -5.58%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -7.32%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -7.32%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -5.14%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -7.32%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -7.32%E -1.08%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.71%EV -8.48%E -6.19%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.85%EV -9.38%E -1.42%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.44%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.71%EV -8.48%E -6.19%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.85%EV -9.38%E -1.42%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.44%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 11:15 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -3.81%E -2.64%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.66%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -2.66%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 02:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 20:50 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 11:54 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 15:38 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 09:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 09:30 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.16%E -8.39%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.73%EV -11.16%E -8.39%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -10.75%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -18.23%E -4.34%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -7.82%E -5.66%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -12.12%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.50%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -14.18%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 02:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -3.81%E -2.64%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.66%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:14 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -17.62%E -2.94%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -3.81%E -2.64%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -20.36%E -3.51%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -3.81%E -2.64%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -20.36%E -3.51%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.74% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.42% | 2.4% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.50% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.14% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.35% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.50% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.14% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.35% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.50% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.14% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.35% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.26% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.10% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |