Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lincoln City v Wimbledon

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lincoln City (Local)

Prediction 65.74%1.52fair odd
EV -5.34%
Edge -3.71%
Kelly -12.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.08%65.74%65.86%67.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.411.4473.53%71.07%70.92%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wimbledon (Visit)

Prediction 12.76%7.84fair odd
EV +4.23%
Edge +0.517%
Kelly +0.590%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 8.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.45%12.76%12.67%14.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.347.508.1715.38%13.63%13.33%12.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.51%4.65fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.234%
Kelly -0.299%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.37%21.50%21.47%23.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.314.354.6026.67%23.18%22.99%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lincoln City (Local): 65.74%; Wimbledon (Visit): 12.76%; Draw: 21.51%. For Wimbledon (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.84. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.96%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%8.17I 12.24%NM 11.72%EV +4.23%E +0.517%K +0.590%G +0.025%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.32%EV -3.44%E -0.766%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV +2.06%E +0.257%K +0.294%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV +2.06%E +0.257%K +0.294%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV +2.06%E +0.257%K +0.294%G +0.006%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:48
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -10.60%E -7.79%K -29.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV +2.06%E +0.257%K +0.294%G +0.006%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -6.88%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -10.60%E -7.79%K -29.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV +2.06%E +0.257%K +0.294%G +0.006%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -6.88%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:40
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.98%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:39
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.64%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:35
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:54
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:55
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:54
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -9.28%E -6.73%K -24.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 13:45
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.28%EV -7.31%E -5.18%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -11.83%E -2.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 13:35
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -10.60%E -7.79%K -29.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:40
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:40
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.08%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:40
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.60%E -7.79%K -29.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -4.32%E -0.576%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -11.83%E -2.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-03 13:44
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -5.60%E -0.756%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:40
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.37%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -5.60%E -0.756%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.18%EV -7.31%E -5.18%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -5.60%E -0.756%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:49
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -7.51%E -1.04%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:40
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.23%E -0.717%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 11:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.07%E -0.234%K -0.299%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 10:00
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 13:20
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -7.31%E -5.18%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 13:49
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -7.31%E -5.18%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.97%E -5.69%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.88%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 11:00
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.19%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -13.98%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.20%EV -9.94%E -7.26%K -26.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -6.45%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.20%EV -9.94%E -7.26%K -26.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -6.45%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 13:55
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.54%EV -9.28%E -6.73%K -24.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-03 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.23%EV -10.60%E -7.79%K -29.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -10.70%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -19.35%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-03 09:30
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.89%EV -5.34%E -3.71%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.43%EV -11.21%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.68%EV -7.31%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.46%EV -8.63%E -6.21%K -22.12%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -13.25%E -1.95%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 11:05
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -13.89%E -2.06%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 11:00
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -13.89%E -2.06%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -6.65%E -4.69%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -13.89%E -2.06%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 11:00
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -6.00%E -4.19%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -17.08%E -2.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -9.68%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 68.21%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.60%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%0.4%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.75%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.90%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.70%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%1.6%2026-04-03 13:55